Live Market Brief

Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Last updated: 11:00 PM ET
🔴 LIVE 11:00 PM ET

Tech Outlook Mixed Post-Close; Broader Macro Risks Emerge

U.S. equities concluded Tuesday's volatile session largely flat, with the S&P 500 SPY $682.67 ▲ 0.37% reflecting an indecisive close. As the post-market hours unfold, technology stocks continue to present a mixed picture, while new macro concerns hint at potential headwinds for the broader market.

In a positive development for electric vehicle giant TSLA $408.75 ▼ 0.95%, California regulators confirmed the company would avoid a 30-day suspension of its licenses. This decision followed corrective marketing adjustments regarding its 'Autopilot' and 'Full Self-Driving' terms, removing a significant regulatory overhang that had pressured the stock. Meanwhile, AAPL $263.04 ▲ 1.93% also garnered positive sentiment following reports of its aggressive push into AI-powered devices, potentially lifting future growth prospects. This contrasts with cybersecurity firm PANW $190.34, which continued its post-market slide after cutting its annual profit forecast, signaling headwinds for enterprise security spending.

Beyond specific tickers, broader macroeconomic concerns are gaining traction. A new watchdog report warns the U.S. could soon enter a 'debt spiral,' with federal debt projected to exceed post-World War II debt-to-GDP records by 2030, raising alarms about the nation's economic stability. In the energy sector, new lawsuits challenging Alaska oil drilling and lease sales could introduce uncertainty for related companies. On the corporate specific front, NE saw some negative sentiment after its SVP of operations sold a significant amount of shares.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Rising: Reports of AI-powered device development
NE
Falling: SVP, operations sold shares
PANW
Falling: Cut annual profit forecast post-market
SPY
Choppy: Market closed flat after volatile session
TSLA
Rising: California regulators avert license suspension
10:00 PM ET

Late-Day Action Mixed; Tesla Boosted, PANW Sinks on Outlook

U.S. equities concluded Tuesday's volatile session largely flat, but post-market activity brought a mixed bag of corporate news, setting a somewhat cautious tone for Wednesday's open. Early Wednesday futures are already signaling lower for broader indices like the S&P 500 SPY $682.67 ▲ 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 QQQ $601.02 ▲ 0.44%, as investors digest lingering tech concerns and macro factors.

In key positive after-hours developments, TSLA $408.75 ▼ 0.95% received a boost as California regulators confirmed the electric vehicle maker will avoid a 30-day suspension of its licenses. The decision followed corrective marketing changes regarding its 'Autopilot' and 'Full Self-Driving' terms, removing a significant regulatory overhang for the company.

Conversely, cybersecurity firm PANW $190.34 continued its post-market slide, extending losses after previously cutting its annual profit forecast. Analysts at Wedbush noted a price target cut but viewed the drop as a potential opportunity, highlighting the split sentiment on its outlook.

Other corporate stories making headlines include F, which outlined a strategic plan to achieve EV profitability by 2029, despite accumulating $19.5 billion in losses on its Model e division since 2022. This long-term vision aims to tackle battery costs and reduce vehicle weight, modeling after Chinese rival BYD.

In the pharmaceutical space, CSL inked a licensing deal with LLY $1051.46 ▲ 0.37% for clazakizumab, a move that could expand therapeutic options. Meanwhile, AT&T (T) and AMZN $201.75 ▲ 1.78% announced a collaboration to combine AT&T's fiber network with AWS cloud and Amazon Leo satellites, aiming to extend fixed broadband connectivity for business customers. On the investment front, Coliseum Capital disclosed a significant $10.1 million purchase of SONO shares, typically a bullish signal. However, CEO stock sales were noted at OCTX and DISM, typically viewed negatively by the market.

The broader market remains watchful amid concerns over a potential government shutdown due to ongoing DHS oversight debates, adding a layer of political uncertainty as the trading week progresses.

Stocks in Focus

AMZN
Rising: New AWS and Amazon LEO connectivity alliance
CSL
Rising: Signs licensing deal with Eli Lilly
DISM
Falling: CEO sells $833k in shares
F
Rising: Unveils long-term EV profitability plan
LLY
Rising: Inks licensing deal with CSL
OCTX
Falling: CEO sells $1.13 million in stock
PANW
Falling: Cut profit forecast, analyst price target cut
QQQ
Falling: Tech recovery stalls, futures edge lower
SONO
Rising: Coliseum Capital buys $10.1M in shares
SPY
Falling: US stock futures edge lower
T
Rising: New AWS and Amazon LEO connectivity alliance
TSLA
Rising: California regulators avoid license suspension
7:00 PM ET

Tech Split Post-Close: PANW Sinks, AI Bright Spots Emerge

U.S. equities eked out slight gains on Tuesday, recovering from intraday lows, though after-hours trading saw significant divergence, particularly within the technology sector, as investors digested fresh earnings, forecasts, and a major portfolio reveal. Cybersecurity giant PANW $190.34 plunged in extended trading, falling sharply after cutting its annual profit forecast and signaling potential headwinds for enterprise security spending.

This downside contrasted with positive beats from other tech players; CDNS climbed nearly 4% after the bell, exceeding profit and revenue estimates on robust AI-linked demand for its chip design software. Similarly, GOOGL $302.52 ▲ 0.83% garnered positive sentiment on plans for major expansion in India and its Waymo unit exploring a significant robotaxi fleet deal with Hyundai, reflecting continued growth in specific AI-driven areas.

Meanwhile, the highly anticipated 13F filing from Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) revealed Warren Buffett's conglomerate initiated a new stake in NYT, which saw its shares rise 3% after hours. In a continuation of a longer-term trend, **Berkshire** also trimmed its positions in tech bellwethers AAPL $263.04 ▲ 1.93% and AMZN $201.75 ▲ 1.78%, along with banking giant Bank of BAC $52.75 ▼ 0.51%. This portfolio reshuffling underscores a selective approach, favoring some value plays over portions of the "Mag 7" that have recently dominated.

Further post-market activity saw consumer health firm KVUE beat quarterly estimates, also announcing job cuts as it navigates a competitive landscape. On the downside, EV maker RIVN continued its recent slide as new doubts over its R2 launch weighed on investor conviction, and APLD fell sharply after NVIDIA NVDA $184.78 ▲ 1.67% reportedly dropped its stake. Smaller positive notes included Rolls-RR securing a $73.5 million contract for Merkava kits and STO targeting 10% job cuts to reduce costs. Conversely, uniQURE investors face a looming class action lawsuit deadline, adding to its negative sentiment.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Falling: Berkshire Hathaway trimmed stake
AMZN
Falling: Berkshire Hathaway trimmed stake
APLD
Falling: NVIDIA reportedly dropped stake
BAC
Falling: Berkshire Hathaway trimmed stake
BRK.B
Choppy: Initiated NYT stake, trimmed tech/bank holdings
CDNS
Rising: Beat profit/revenue on AI demand
GOOGL
Rising: India expansion, Waymo robotaxi deal
KVUE
Rising: Beat quarterly estimates, announced job cuts
NVDA
Rising: Meta AI chip deal, AI demand
NYT
Rising: New stake from Berkshire Hathaway
PANW
Falling: Cut annual profit forecast post-market
QURE
Falling: Investors face class action lawsuit deadline
RIVN
Falling: R2 launch risks weigh on growth path
RR
Rising: Secured $73.5M defense contract
STO
Rising: Targeting 10% job cuts to reduce costs
6:00 PM ET

AI Deal Spurs Tech After Flat Close; PANW Disappoints

U.S. equities concluded a volatile Tuesday session effectively flat, yet post-market activity quickly shifted investor focus back to the Artificial Intelligence arena. The most significant after-hours news came from chip titan NVDA $184.78 ▲ 1.67% and social media behemoth META $640.00 ▲ 0.08%, announcing an expanded multi-year deal for millions of additional AI chips, including future Rubin AI chips and standalone Grace and Vera CPUs. This robust partnership intensifies competition for rivals like INTC $46.27 ▲ 0.57% and AMD $203.20 ▲ 0.52% and could alleviate some 'AI capex jitters' that weighed on the tech sector during the day.

Conversely, cybersecurity firm PANW $190.34 saw its stock slump sharply post-market after delivering third-quarter profit guidance that fell short of expectations, indicating potential headwinds in the enterprise security space.

Adding to the post-close disclosures, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) (and its Class A shares, BRK.A) revealed its latest 13F filing. Warren Buffett's last filing as CEO showed the conglomerate initiated a new stake in NYT and took a bigger bite of Domino’s DPZ. Meanwhile, Berkshire continued to trim its positions in tech giant AAPL $263.04 ▲ 1.93% and banking stalwart Bank of BAC $52.75 ▼ 0.51%, while also selling most of its stake in AMZN $201.75 ▲ 1.78%. Despite Berkshire's sale, AMZN $201.75 ▲ 1.78% itself saw a positive note late in the session, ending a nine-day slide on reassessments of its AI investments.

Elsewhere in the market, TSLA $408.75 ▼ 0.95% faced continued pressure, with its stock chart indicating further pain to come, while MSFT $399.09 headed for its fourth consecutive day of losses, reaching nine-month lows. In brighter news, analysts backed SHOP as an 'Agentic AI' winner after strong Q4 results, and NCR NCRV increased its share repurchase program. On the downside, WDC faced concerns as it plans to sell $3.1 billion in shares. Industrial firms SGH and STLD made a significant $10.6 billion bid for BlueBSL, signaling M&A activity in the sector. Investor sentiment highlighted GOOGL $302.52 ▲ 0.83%, META $640.00 ▲ 0.08%, and NVDA $184.78 ▲ 1.67% as attractive but expressed caution on ORCL $156.15 ▼ 1.00%'s free cash flow, pointing to continued selective interest in the 'Mag Seven'.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Falling: Berkshire Hathaway trimmed stake in 13F filing
AMD
Choppy: Faces increased competition in CPU market from NVDA/META deal
AMZN
Rising: Stopped nine-day slide; Berkshire Hathaway trimmed stake
BAC
Falling: Berkshire Hathaway trimmed stake in 13F filing
BRK.A
Choppy: Implied by BRK.B 13F actions, last Buffett-era filing
BRK.B
Choppy: 13F revealed new media stake, trimmed tech/banks
BSL
Rising: Subject of $10.6 billion acquisition bid
DPZ
Rising: Berkshire Hathaway took a bigger stake
GOOGL
Rising: Investor highlights as attractive and central to AI growth
INTC
Choppy: Faces increased competition in CPU market from NVDA/META deal
META
Rising: Expanded AI chip partnership with Nvidia
MSFT
Falling: Heads for fourth day of losses, nine-month lows
NCRV
Rising: Increased share repurchase program to $300 million
NVDA
Rising: Expanded AI chip partnership with Meta
NYT
Rising: Berkshire Hathaway initiated a new stake
ORCL
Choppy: Investor cautious on free cash flow despite growth
PANW
Falling: Q3 profit guidance fell short of expectations
SGH
Rising: Part of $10.6 billion bid for BlueScope Steel
SHOP
Rising: Backed by analysts as 'Agentic AI' winner, strong growth
STLD
Rising: Part of $10.6 billion bid for BlueScope Steel
TSLA
Falling: Continued weakness, chart shows more pain ahead
WDC
Falling: Plans to sell $3.1 billion in shares
5:00 PM ET

Nvidia, Meta Forge Deeper AI Alliance Post-Market; Earnings Mixed

U.S. equities concluded a volatile Tuesday session effectively flat, as earlier intraday gains were given back into the close. However, the post-market hours are being dominated by significant developments in the Artificial Intelligence space, setting a potentially bullish tone for the next trading day for some tech giants.

Chip titan NVDA $184.78 ▲ 1.67% and social media behemoth META $640.00 ▲ 0.08% announced an expanded, multi-year deal for millions of additional AI chips. This pact will include Nvidia's NVDA $184.78 ▲ 1.67% current Blackwell chips, future Rubin AI chips, and standalone Grace and Vera central processing units, intensifying the competition in the CPU market with rivals like INTC $46.27 ▲ 0.57% and AMD $203.20 ▲ 0.52%. This robust partnership is seen as a strong endorsement of **NVDA**'s AI ecosystem and could help alleviate some of the 'AI capex jitters' that weighed on the tech sector during the day.

Elsewhere, a slew of earnings reports hit after the bell, presenting a mixed picture. Australian insurer SUN plunged following a 67% drop in first-half cash earnings due to surging natural hazard costs. Biotech firm GKOS and HALO both reported EPS misses, despite topping revenue estimates. On the positive side, National Australia Bank (NABZY) saw a 16% rise in first-quarter cash earnings. Industrial auctioneer RB RBA and consulting firm HCKT both beat on earnings and revenue, while waste management firm RSG delivered an earnings beat but missed on revenue. This mixed corporate bag adds to the 'wait-and-see' sentiment as investors look towards Wednesday's open.

Stocks in Focus

AMD
Falling: Increased competition from Nvidia's new CPU offerings
GKOS
Falling: Q4 EPS missed estimates
HALO
Falling: Earnings missed estimates
HCKT
Rising: Earnings and revenue topped estimates
INTC
Falling: Increased competition from Nvidia's new CPU offerings
META
Rising: Expanded multi-year AI chip deal with Nvidia
NABZY
Rising: First-quarter cash earnings rose 16%
NVDA
Rising: Expanded multi-year AI chip deal with Meta Platforms
RBA
Rising: Earnings and revenue topped estimates
RSG
Choppy: Earnings beat, but revenue fell short of estimates
SPY
Closed: Market closed flat after volatile intraday session
SUN
Falling: Cash earnings plunged 67% due to natural hazard costs
4:00 PM ET

Stocks Close Flat After Volatile Day; Tech Jitters Persist Amid Mixed AI Signals

U.S. equities concluded a choppy Tuesday session effectively flat, as earlier intraday gains were given back into the close. The day's trading was characterized by an initial dip, a midday rebound, and ultimately, a balanced finish, with the S&P 500 SPY $682.67 ▲ 0.37% reflecting this indecision.

The technology sector remained a focal point, with early 'AI capex jitters' weighing on sentiment. However, a significant bullish reset for NVDA $184.78 ▲ 1.67% from Bank of America, which raised EPS and AI data center total addressable market estimates, offered a substantial counter-narrative. JPMorgan also highlighted 'AI-resilient' software companies after a recent selloff, citing potential opportunities. While PLTR managed to turn positive, TSLA $408.75 ▼ 0.95% faced continued pressure. Competitive dynamics emerged with SNOW stock falling due to GOOGL $302.52 ▲ 0.83%'s new BigQuery global queries feature, highlighting ongoing competition in the cloud data space. Concerns over European regulatory scrutiny of Big Tech also added a layer of caution.

Beyond tech, individual corporate stories drove notable movements. GIS plunged after slashing its annual sales and profit outlook. Conversely, W jumped 3% following Evercore's assessment of 'asymmetric upside' before its Q4 results. Utility provider NextNEE $93.09 ▼ 1.88% garnered attention for its role in powering the burgeoning data center boom. ULTA and OnespaOSW both hit new all-time highs. Meanwhile, T-TMUS announced plans for major changes as it grapples with increased customer churn amid intensifying competition from rivals like AT&T (T) and VZ $48.95 ▼ 0.66%.

Broader market sentiment was also influenced by a Basel Committee warning regarding the bank 'risk transfer' boom and persistent fears of EU disunity stemming from US-Hungary relations. However, a positive development emerged with reports of a $550 billion Japan investment deal, including U.S. projects, providing a forward-looking positive note.

Stocks in Focus

GIS
Falling: Slashed sales and profit outlook
GOOGL
Rising: New BigQuery feature, competitive edge
NEE
Rising: Powering data center developments
NVDA
Rising: Bank of America raises EPS & TAM estimates
OSW
Rising: Hits all-time high
PLTR
Rising: Recovered to positive after earlier dip
SNOW
Falling: Competitive pressure from Google BigQuery
SPY
Choppy: Intraday volatility, flat close
T
Choppy: Intensifying competition in wireless market
TMUS
Falling: CEO plans major changes after customer churn
TSLA
Falling: Intraday weakness, broader tech pressures
ULTA
Rising: Hits all-time high
VZ
Choppy: Intensifying competition in wireless market
W
Rising: Evercore sees 'asymmetric upside'
3:00 PM ET

SPY Gains Ground as Tech Stabilizes, Broad Market Broadens Leadership

U.S. equities are firmly in positive territory this Tuesday afternoon, with the S&P 500 SPY $683.68 ▲ 0.52% climbing over 0.5% from its open, signaling a broader market recovery despite earlier tech sector jitters. The overall bullish sentiment is driven by a rotation beneath the surface, as investors re-evaluate positions.

The technology sector, while still seeing mixed signals, appears to be stabilizing and in some cases, rebounding from recent rough sessions, helping lift the wider market with the Nasdaq and DIA $496.16 ▲ 0.16% climbing. Earlier concerns over AI capital expenditure are giving way to selective buying. While AMZN $200.91 ▲ 1.36% continued its significant slide, shedding over $450 billion in value amid AI vows and an 'historic stock slide,' and AAPL $265.58 ▲ 2.92% faced headwinds from potential AI feature delays and a news probe, other tech names are showing resilience. PLTR was back in the green, and analysts at JPMorgan are flagging 'AI-resilient' software companies like CrowdCRWD, C.H. CHRW, and COMP as attractive opportunities following recent sell-offs. Additionally, GOOGL $301.35 ▲ 0.43% received a boost from a new geothermal power deal with ORA to support its data centers. Even TSLA $408.75 ▼ 0.95%, which saw a dip today, is making headlines with plans for a steering-wheel-free vehicle by April, highlighting its innovative drive.

The market's underlying strength is also coming from a broadening of leadership, moving beyond the concentrated gains of mega-cap tech. As highlighted by Northwestern Mutual's Matt Stucky, money is rotating into small and mid-cap stocks, industrials, energy, materials, and consumer staples. Stucky also sees financials as an attractive, AI-resilient sector, with top holdings including JPJPM $305.69 ▲ 0.66%, GS, and COF. This perspective suggests a healthier market breadth, despite ongoing debates about the "Mag 7" (including NVDA $185.83 ▲ 2.24%, MSFT $396.74 ▼ 0.58%, META $642.57 ▲ 0.48%) having experienced 'multiple compression' this year.

Elsewhere, positive corporate news continued to drive individual movers. LUV is flying higher on plans to upgrade its in-flight WiFi with Starlink, addressing a key customer pain point. WTM hit an all-time high, while W jumped 3% after Evercore saw "asymmetric upside." Utility provider NextNEE $92.39 ▼ 2.61% is gaining attention for powering the data center boom. On the downside, LGI LGIH missed Q4 earnings expectations, and AT&T (T) is being sued by New York City pension funds. Meanwhile, RIVN received a downgrade from D.A. Davidson analysts.

Despite the positive intraday move, some macro concerns persist. A new Federal Reserve study casts doubt on the narrative of slowing inflation, while the Basel Committee issued a warning on the bank 'risk transfer' boom. These factors add a layer of caution, keeping investors in a "wait-and-see" mode regarding the long-term outlook.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Falling: AI feature delays, news probe
AMZN
Falling: Historic stock slide, AI vows concerns
CHRW
Rising: JPMorgan 'AI-resilient' pick
COF
Rising: Analyst cites financials as attractive, AI-resilient
COMP
Rising: JPMorgan 'AI-resilient' pick
CRWD
Rising: JPMorgan 'AI-resilient' pick
DIA
Rising: Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs
GOOGL
Rising: Geothermal power deal with Ormat
GS
Rising: Analyst cites financials as attractive, AI-resilient
JPM
Rising: Analyst cites financials as attractive, AI-resilient
LGIH
Falling: Q4 earnings miss expectations
LUV
Rising: Starlink WiFi upgrade plans
META
Choppy: Part of 'Mag 7' multiple compression, sector stabilization
MSFT
Choppy: Part of 'Mag 7' multiple compression, sector stabilization
NEE
Rising: Powering data center boom
NVDA
Choppy: Part of 'Mag 7' multiple compression, sector stabilization
ORA
Rising: Geothermal power deal with Google
PLTR
Rising: Back in the green after recent sessions
QQQ
Rising: Nasdaq Composite climbs
RIVN
Falling: D.A. Davidson downgrade
SPY
Rising: Broad market recovery, tech stabilization
T
Falling: Sued by NYC pension funds
TRIP
Choppy: Activist investor Starboard engagement
TSLA
Falling: Stock fell today despite innovation news
W
Rising: Evercore sees 'asymmetric upside'
WMT
Wait-and-See: Anticipation of upcoming earnings
WTM
Rising: Hits all-time high
11:00 AM ET

Tech Slide Drags SPY Lower; Walmart Tops $1T Amid Mixed Movers

U.S. equities are seeing a broadly weaker session this Tuesday morning, extending the post-holiday dip with the S&P 500 SPY $677.62 ▼ 0.60% down 0.37% from its open. The Nasdaq continues to bear the brunt, hitting a 12-week low as concerns over 'AI capex jitters' persist, weighing heavily on technology and growth stocks.

Big tech names like TSLA $403.72 ▼ 2.51% and PLTR are extending recent losses, contributing to the broader tech sector's struggles. Cybersecurity firm PANW $190.34 also saw its stock fall following news of an acquisition, overshadowing earlier analyst optimism. Software peers like CRM $183.94 ▼ 1.38%, ServiceNOW $145.10, and INTU $390.00 are similarly caught in a software selloff. However, not all tech is down: NVDA $180.82 ▼ 3.51% saw positive sentiment after a notable institutional investor increased their stake, and GOOGL $297.86 ▼ 3.24% is gaining on a significant geothermal power purchase agreement with ORA for its Nevada operations.

Amidst the broader market's struggles, several individual stocks are defying the trend. Retail giant WMT $130.72 ▼ 1.49% is a standout, having recently crossed the $1 trillion valuation milestone, driven by robust e-commerce and AI investments. Shares of AMRX, BLD, FDP, and NYT are all hitting new 52-week or all-time highs. Activist investor interest is boosting NCLH, while LOOP is up on plans for a new European facility. OLB OLB soared after announcing a partnership with PayPal, and BRAG also rose on strategic partnership news.

On the downside, several companies are reacting negatively to their latest financial reports or corporate news. HIL, ORN, and AHH all reported misses or cautious outlooks. Regional bank FFBC dipped on insider selling, while LH saw its stock fall despite beating EPS estimates. Energy infrastructure firm ET also missed Q4 EPS expectations. In a stark reminder of retail challenges, mall retailer Francesca's has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, initiating liquidation sales.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Choppy: UK class action ends; still sensitive to tech sentiment
AHH
Falling: Q4 EPS miss
AMRX
Rising: Hits 52-week high
BLD
Rising: Hits all-time high
BRAG
Rising: Rises after strategic partnership
BWMN
Falling: Founder announces retirement plans
CRM
Falling: Caught in broader software selloff
DHR
Wait-and-See: Acquiring Masimo
ET
Falling: Q4 EPS misses estimates
FDP
Rising: Hits 52-week high
FFBC
Falling: General Counsel sells shares
GOOGL
Rising: Geothermal power purchase agreement with ORA
HIL
Falling: Q4 revenue misses estimates
INTU
Falling: Caught in broader software selloff
LH
Falling: Stock dips despite EPS beat
LOOP
Rising: Selected German site for European facility
MASI
Rising: Acquisition by Danaher
NCLH
Rising: Activist investor Elliott Management stake
NFLX
Wait-and-See: Gives WBD time to explore deal for Paramount
NOW
Falling: Caught in broader software selloff
NVDA
Rising: Institutional investor increases stake
NYT
Rising: Hits all-time high
OLB
Rising: Soars after PayPal partnership announcement
ORA
Rising: Signs 150MW geothermal PPA with Google
ORN
Falling: EBITDA decline, cautious 2026 outlook
PANW
Falling: Stock falls after announcing Koi acquisition
PARA
Rising: Reported revived acquisition talks
PLTR
Falling: Extending recent losses, tech sector weakness
SPY
Falling: Broader market weakness, tech sector drag
TSLA
Falling: Extending recent losses, tech sector weakness
VFC
Falling: Investment manager sheds shares
VZ
Neutral: Routine 10-K filing for FY2025
WBD
Wait-and-See: Considering reopening sale talks for Paramount
WMT
Rising: $1 trillion valuation milestone, strong fundamentals
10:00 AM ET

Stocks Drift Lower Amid Geopolitical Jitters, Mixed Earnings

U.S. equities are showing a slight dip this Tuesday morning, with the S&P 500 SPY $679.73 ▼ 0.29% down marginally as geopolitical concerns resurface alongside a mixed bag of corporate earnings and tech sector narratives. The partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran for military drills is injecting fresh uncertainty, building on earlier anxieties surrounding US-Iran talks.

The tech sector remains a focal point, continuing to grapple with 'AI capex jitters' that have weighed on sentiment. TSLA $405.84 ▼ 2.00% is facing pressure early on, despite CEO Elon Musk's claims of Cybercab production beginning in April and discussions about Optimus; the stock's early fall is linked to Musk's broader comments. However, some tech names are finding footing: QCOM $140.94 ▲ 2.55% is gaining traction as a UK lawsuit over smartphone chip royalties is set to be withdrawn, and GOOGL $300.47 ▼ 2.39% is buoyed by a significant geothermal Power Purchase Agreement with ORA to support its data centers. Wedbush also came to Apple's AAPL $259.74 ▼ 0.92% defense, calling its recent sell-off 'unwarranted'.

Beyond tech, individual corporate stories are driving notable movements. Biotech firm CMPS is soaring after reporting positive Phase 3 trial results. Strong operational performance also lifted shares of Coca-CCEP and CG, the latter beating Q3 estimates. Several stocks, including AMRX, BLD, FDP, and NYT, are hitting new 52-week or all-time highs. Media names PARA and Warner Bros. WBD are also seeing positive momentum as Paramount reportedly revived acquisition talks.

On the downside, consumer staples giant GIS is slumping after cutting its full-year sales and profit outlook, citing a slower-than-expected consumer recovery. Shipping giant UPS UPS is facing pressure following news of 22 package facility closures. Other companies reporting disappointing financial results or executive exits include GSSP, HIL, FFBC, ORN, and AHH.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Rising: Analyst calls sell-off 'unwarranted'
AHH
Falling: Missed EPS estimates
AMRX
Rising: Hit 52-week high
BLD
Rising: Hit all-time high
CCEP
Rising: Strong revenue and operating profit growth
CG
Rising: Beat Q3 2026 estimates
CMPS
Rising: Positive Phase 3 trial results
FDP
Rising: Hit 52-week high
FFBC
Falling: General counsel sells shares
GIS
Falling: Cut sales and profit outlook
GOOGL
Rising: Geothermal PPA for data centers
GSSP
Falling: Preliminary revenue concerns, executive exits
HIL
Falling: Revenue misses estimates
NYT
Rising: Hit all-time high
ORA
Rising: PPA with NV Energy to support Google
ORN
Falling: EBITDA decline, cautious outlook
PARA
Rising: Revived acquisition talks with WBD
QCOM
Rising: UK lawsuit over chip royalties withdrawn
SPY
Falling: Geopolitical tensions, mixed earnings
TSLA
Falling: Musk's comments, broader tech pressure
UPS
Falling: Closure of 22 package facilities
WBD
Rising: Revived acquisition talks with PARA
9:00 AM ET

Tech Futures Slide on AI Capex Fears; Earnings Mixed

U.S. equity futures are pointing lower this Tuesday morning, with Nasdaq futures leading losses as investor concerns over Artificial Intelligence capital expenditure (capex) intensify. The sentiment, echoing earlier UBS downgrades about the 'challenging math' of translating heavy AI investments into profits, is weighing on the tech sector.

Individual corporate stories are driving significant pre-market moves. Software giant

Individual corporate stories are driving significant pre-market moves. Software giant MSFT $382.56 faces headwinds after Melius Research downgraded its stock to 'Hold,' citing potential free cash flow impacts from increased capex requirements to compete with rivals like GOOGL $307.94. This adds to a broader tech cautiousness, with NVDA $179.53 and TSLA $416.65 extending recent losses as reflected in pre-market indices, despite TSLA $416.65's strategic pivot towards humanoid robots and robotaxis. Conversely, ORCL $149.29 is seeing positive sentiment after securing an $88 million Air Force contract for cloud services, while GOOGL $307.94 is also tied to a very positive PPA with ORA to power its data centers.

On the M&A front, DHR $215.70 is set to acquire pulse oximeter maker MASI for $9.9 billion, bolstering its diagnostics portfolio. Biotech firm LH is forecasting upbeat annual profit on strong demand, and LUV received an upgrade from UBS, with analysts citing potential earnings boosts from new seating and bag fee initiatives.

However, a number of companies are facing pressure. Energy infrastructure firm ET missed Q4 EPS expectations. Consumer staples giant GIS cut its full-year sales and profit outlook. Shipping titan UPS UPS announced the closure of 22 package facilities. In healthcare, OCUL surprisingly saw its stock drop 25% despite releasing positive data. Silver miners, including HL, EXK, and AG, are falling in pre-market as the metal's price declines. Video game publisher UBI saw shares gain post-earnings due to restructuring plans and cost-cutting measures, despite job cuts and a strike by employees.

Broader market sentiment is also impacted by reports of commercial real estate lenders facing growing losses and geopolitical concerns as Iran partially closes the Strait of Hormuz for military drills.

Stocks in Focus

AG
Falling: Silver miners fall as metal drops
DHR
Rising: Acquiring Masimo for $9.9 billion
ET
Falling: Missed Q4 EPS expectations
EXK
Falling: Silver miners fall as metal drops
GIS
Falling: Cut full-year sales and profit outlook
GOOGL
Rising: Google's PPA with Ormat for data centers
HL
Falling: Silver miners fall as metal drops
LH
Rising: Forecasts upbeat annual profit
LUV
Rising: UBS upgrade on earnings boost initiatives
MASI
Rising: Acquisition target by Danaher
MSFT
Falling: Downgrade to 'Hold'; AI capex concerns
NVDA
Falling: Tech futures slide; AI capex fears
OCUL
Falling: Stock dropped despite positive data
ORA
Rising: Long-term PPA with Google's data centers
ORCL
Rising: $88 million Air Force cloud contract
TSLA
Falling: Extending losses; tech sector weakness
UBI
Rising: Shares gained on restructuring plans
UPS
Falling: Identified 22 package facilities for closure
8:00 AM ET

AI Capex Jitters Drag Tech Futures; Earnings & Splits Drive Individual Movers

U.S. equity futures are pointing lower this Tuesday morning, as investor worries about capital expenditure (capex) in the Artificial Intelligence sector intensify. Nasdaq futures are leading losses, with particular pressure on chip stocks, signaling concerns that the heavy investments in AI may face a 'challenging math' to translate into profits, echoing sentiments from earlier UBS downgrades. A BofA survey highlighted that while overall investor bullishness is high, a record 35% are concerned about corporate overinvestment, with major tech firms forecasting $650 billion in 2026 alone. This skepticism impacts names like MSFT $382.56, which saw a downgrade to 'Hold' by Melius Research, citing FCF impacts from rising capex requirements.

Among individual tech giants, AAPL $257.06 faces potential margin pressure as surging DRAM and NAND prices could reportedly lift iPhone costs by 15%. However, there are also positive catalysts within the sector: QCOM $136.28 shares could see a boost as a UK lawsuit over smartphone chip royalties is set to be withdrawn. GOOGL $307.94 is receiving bullish reaffirmations for its Waymo autonomous driving momentum, but these positives are tempered by analyst warnings of 'dot-com parallels' and a 'systemic yellow flag' due to falling free cash flow amid AI investments. Similarly, TSLA $416.65 is garnering attention for its AI growth outlook and Elon Musk's ambitious autonomous vehicle plans, yet faces headwinds from increasing competition in the China EV market. Meanwhile, ORCL $149.29 secured an $88 million Air Force contract for cloud services, and CoCSGP launched a transformative AI experience for Homes.com.

In corporate earnings and actions, the landscape is mixed. MDT beat quarterly profit estimates on strong demand for heart devices, and McDonald's MCD $315.49 unveiled positive 2026 menu plans following a sales rebound. Raspberry Pi (RPI) stock is soaring after its CEO boosted his stake. Conversely, GIS cut its annual sales and profit forecast, leading to pre-market declines. CNH CNHI shares fell despite beating Q4 estimates, as its 2026 guidance disappointed. USA USAC and VMI both missed Q4 EPS and revenue estimates. LH reported mixed results, beating EPS but missing on revenue. Outside of earnings, GPC announced plans to split into separate automotive and industrial companies, typically a value-unlocking move. Video game publisher UBI saw its shares gain post-earnings due to restructuring plans and cost-cutting measures, despite job cuts and a strike by employees. Finally, FLR sold 71 million shares of NuSMR for $1.35 billion, providing a valuation benchmark for SMR while potentially impacting FLR's asset base. Broader market sentiment is also weighed down by reports of growing losses for commercial real estate lenders.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Falling: Margin pressure from rising memory costs
CNHI
Falling: Disappointing 2026 guidance despite Q4 beat
CSGP
Rising: Launched transformative Homes.com AI experience
FLR
Neutral: Sold significant stake in NuScale Power
GIS
Falling: Cut annual sales and profit forecast
GOOGL
Choppy: Waymo momentum vs. AI capex/FCF 'dot-com parallels' warning
GPC
Rising: Plan to split into automotive and industrial companies
LH
Choppy: Beat Q4 EPS, but revenue fell short
MCD
Rising: Unveiled positive 2026 menu plans; sales rebound
MDT
Rising: Beat quarterly profit estimates on strong demand
MSFT
Falling: Downgrade by Melius Research, AI capex overinvestment concerns
ORCL
Rising: Awarded $88 million Air Force contract
QCOM
Rising: UK lawsuit over chip royalties to be withdrawn
RPI
Rising: CEO boosts stake in company
SMR
Rising: Fluor sold stake at $1.35 billion valuation
TSLA
Choppy: AI growth outlook vs. new China EV competition
UBI
Rising: Shares gained post-earnings on restructuring and cost cuts
USAC
Falling: Missed Q4 EPS and revenue estimates
VMI
Falling: Missed Q4 EPS and revenue estimates
6:00 AM ET

Tech Jitters Weigh on Futures; M&A, Activists Drive Pre-Market Action

U.S. equity futures are pointing to a cautious open this Tuesday morning, as investors digest conflicting signals from the tech sector amid a flurry of corporate headlines. A significant theme emerging is the growing skepticism around Artificial Intelligence, with UBS downgrading U.S. tech stocks, citing "challenging math" for turning capex into profits. This concern is amplified by warnings that "big money is slashing Nasdaq 100 bets," leading to a 'Very Negative' sentiment around the Nasdaq 100 (**NDX**) and its ETF equivalent, **QQQ**.

However, the AI narrative isn't uniformly negative. India's Adani Group announced a massive $100 billion investment in AI infrastructure, signaling long-term bullishness in the space. Separately, CRM $180.24 received an upgrade from JMP Securities on its Agentforce growth, and Citizens reiterated its rating on GOOGL $307.94 due to AI search expansion. On the downside, Piper Sandler lowered its price target on ASAN, and Bank of America reduced its target on ETSY.

Corporate actions are also driving individual stock movements. Shipping firm ZIM is soaring in pre-market after agreeing to a $4.2 billion cash sale to HLAG. Media giant PARA shares are jumping on reports that WBD is considering reopening sale talks. Building on earlier reports, NCLH continues to see interest after an activist investor reportedly took a significant stake. Conversely, BAM saw its £455 million CityPoint tower sale talks collapse. In other news, LLY $1041.32 is targeting India as a global export hub for its booming Mounjaro sales, and **LSEG** stock is rising following a partnership deal with Bank of America. Consumer goods giant UL was downgraded at Kepler, while PUBM saw its stock rating reiterated by Citizens on an AI platform launch.

Stocks in Focus

ASAN
Falling: Piper Sandler price target cut
BAM
Falling: CityPoint tower sale talks collapse
CRM
Rising: JMP Securities upgrade on Agentforce growth
ETSY
Falling: BofA price target cut
GOOGL
Rising: Citizens reiterates rating on AI search
HLAG
Rising: Acquiring ZIM Integrated Shipping Services
LLY
Rising: India export hub for Mounjaro sales
LSEG
Rising: Bank of America partnership deal
NCLH
Rising: Activist investor stake reported
NDX
Falling: AI fears, big money slashing bets
PARA
Rising: Warner Bros. mulling sale talks
PUBM
Rising: Citizens reiterates rating on AI platform launch
QQQ
Falling: AI fears, big money slashing bets
UL
Falling: Kepler downgrade on limited upside
WBD
Wait-and-See: Mulling Paramount Global sale talks
ZIM
Rising: $4.2 bln cash sale to Hapag-Lloyd
5:00 AM ET

AI's Dual Edge, Global Jitters Set Pre-Market Tone

U.S. equity futures are treading cautiously this Tuesday morning as a mix of global economic headwinds and contrasting narratives within the Artificial Intelligence sector vie for investor attention. Weak economic data from Europe, including a stagnant German economy and a weakening UK job market spurring Bank of England rate cut bets, contribute to a risk-off sentiment. Geopolitical concerns surrounding US-Iran talks are also weighing on global equities, with Gulf markets already seeing dips.

However, the AI space offers a bifurcated outlook. India's conglomerate, ADANIENT, announced an ambitious $100 billion investment in AI data centers over the next decade, signaling massive growth potential in the region. This bullish development contrasts sharply with mounting regulatory scrutiny in Europe, where Spain is reportedly probing X and META $612.84 over AI-generated child sexual abuse material. Broader European regulators are also cracking down on Big Tech, adding a layer of caution. Meanwhile, the growing Chile data center market points to increased activity for hyperscalers like AMZN $188.81, MSFT $382.56, and EQIX $954.87.

On the corporate front, there's a flurry of analyst activity and positive individual stories. NCLH received a significant boost with a €4 billion order from Fincantieri, building on the earlier news of activist investor Elliott Management's stake. Jefferies initiated a Buy rating on CLLS and reiterated its Buy on ALB. RBC Capital initiated coverage on AXA with an Outperform rating, and Raymond James upgraded Marsh & McMMC $182.01. Conversely, Jefferies downgraded energy pipeline giant ENB to Hold, and Rothschild lowered its rating on Warner Bros. WBD, citing a potential Netflix bid. Positive earnings and guidance drove ITM ITM higher, alongside strong 2025 results for THEON and NOEJF, which also completed a water business sale. The burgeoning Digital Supply Chain & Logistics Tech market offers tailwinds for software giants like SAP and ORCL $149.29.

Stocks in Focus

ADANIENT
Rising: Massive $100B AI data center investment
ALB
Rising: Jefferies 'Buy' reiteration
AMZN
Rising: Chile data center market growth
AXA
Rising: RBC 'Outperform' initiation
CLLS
Rising: Jefferies 'Buy' initiation
ENB
Falling: Jefferies downgrade to Hold
EQIX
Rising: Chile data center market growth
ITM
Rising: Lifted revenue guidance
META
Falling: Regulatory probe over AI-generated material
MMC
Rising: Raymond James upgrade
MSFT
Rising: Chile data center market growth
NCLH
Rising: Secured €4bn cruise line order
NOEJF
Rising: Meets forecast, water business sale
ORCL
Rising: Digital Supply Chain market growth
SAP
Rising: Digital Supply Chain market growth
THEON
Rising: Strong 2025 results, positive outlook
WBD
Falling: Rothschild downgrade on Netflix bid
X
Falling: Regulatory probe over AI-generated material
3:00 AM ET

Global Corporate Moves, UK Economic Woes Shape Early Outlook

As Tuesday's pre-market hours unfold, global corporate actions and international economic data are setting the stage for the upcoming U.S. trading session. India's conglomerate, ADANIENT, announced a massive $100 billion investment to build AI-ready data centers by 2035, aiming to establish India as an AI leader. This significant capital outlay will likely attract attention to global AI infrastructure plays.

In Europe, Coca-CCEP initiated a €1 billion share buyback program, typically a bullish signal for investors. Payments technology firm ACI ACIW is seeing accelerated global adoption as a leading UK bank integrates its cloud-native platform, powered by MSFT $382.56 cloud capabilities. Conversely, biotech firm SENS faced a setback with the resignation of its CEO for personal reasons.

Economic data from the UK painted a somber picture, with the unemployment rate rising to a five-year high of 5.2% in December and wage growth continuing to slow. These figures suggest cooling inflationary pressures but also reflect a weaker labor market, which could influence the Bank of England's monetary policy trajectory.

Earlier overnight themes persist, including reports of DHR $215.70 nearing a $10 billion acquisition of MASI, and activist investor Elliott Management's stake in NCLH. Geopolitical anxieties around US-Iran talks and Japan's rising debt forecasts continue to contribute to a cautious global market sentiment as traders await the open.

Stocks in Focus

ACIW
Rising: UK bank adopts cloud-native payment platform
ADANIENT
Rising: $100B AI data center investment by 2035
CCEP
Rising: Initiates €1 billion share buyback program
DHR
Wait-and-See: Reportedly nearing $10B acquisition of Masimo
MASI
Rising: Target of reported $10B Danaher acquisition
MSFT
Rising: Cloud capabilities power ACIW's UK adoption
NCLH
Rising: Activist investor Elliott Management stake
SENS
Falling: CEO steps down for personal reasons
2:00 AM ET

M&A Heats Up Overnight; Geopolitical Jitters Persist

As early Tuesday hours unfold, corporate activity is taking center stage, with medical technology giant DHR $215.70 reportedly closing in on a nearly $10 billion deal to acquire peer MASI, according to the Financial Times. This potential acquisition would likely offer a significant premium for MASI shareholders and expand DHR $215.70's portfolio in the life sciences and diagnostics space, building on earlier reports and providing a concrete corporate catalyst ahead of the U.S. market open.

Meanwhile, a cautious macroeconomic backdrop continues to develop. Fresh reports detail Japan's finance ministry estimates that its debt issuance is set to surge 28% by fiscal 2029, raising fiscal sustainability concerns. This, alongside lingering geopolitical concerns surrounding US-Iran nuclear talks and a generally weaker sentiment for Asian currencies against the dollar, sets a 'wait-and-see' tone for global markets.

Other corporate stories from overnight include activist investor Elliott Management's reported significant stake in NCLH, often seen as a positive catalyst for share price appreciation. On the earnings front, NeoNVOT posted mixed results, missing EPS but beating revenue estimates, which could lead to pressure on its shares when markets open.

Stocks in Focus

DHR
Rising: Reported nearly $10B acquisition of Masimo
MASI
Rising: Target of reported $10B acquisition by Danaher
NCLH
Rising: Activist investor stake reported by Elliott Management
NVOT
Falling: Mixed Q4 earnings; missed EPS but beat revenue
1:00 AM ET

Geopolitical Jitters Cloud Tuesday's Overnight Outlook

Tuesday's early hours are setting a cautious tone for the upcoming trading session, as global geopolitical tensions and currency dynamics dominate overnight headlines. The looming US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva are injecting significant uncertainty, with the threat of war casting a long shadow and contributing to a 'Very Negative' sentiment across international markets.

Adding to the somber mood, Asian currencies have drifted lower against a firmer dollar, a trend seen ahead of upcoming Federal Reserve economic cues. This dollar strength often signals a risk-off environment, potentially impacting commodity prices and emerging markets. Further weighing on regional sentiment, Japan faces growing fiscal concerns as its debt issuance is projected to surge by 28% through FY2029, a factor contributing to continued losses in Japanese equities overnight, although Australian resources giant BHP saw a boost.

Despite the broad macroeconomic headwinds, individual corporate actions continue to provide distinct narratives. Activist investor Elliott Management has reportedly built a substantial stake in NCLH, a development often perceived as a positive catalyst for share price appreciation. Meanwhile, the medical technology sector sees potential consolidation, with DHR $215.70 reportedly nearing a $10 billion acquisition of MASI, which would likely benefit MASI shareholders with a premium. On the earnings front, NeoNVOT presented a mixed bag, missing EPS estimates but beating revenue forecasts, which could lead to pressure on its shares at the open. These diverse corporate stories will contend with the overarching global anxieties as the U.S. market approaches its opening bell.

Stocks in Focus

BHP
Rising: Australian resources sector boost overnight
DHR
Wait-and-See: Reported $10B acquisition talks for Masimo
MASI
Rising: Potential acquisition premium by Danaher
NCLH
Rising: Activist stake by Elliott Management
NVOT
Falling: Mixed earnings report, missed EPS
12:00 AM ET

Corporate Actions & Earnings Drive Overnight News

As Monday's trading session has concluded and attention shifts to the upcoming Tuesday open, several key corporate developments are shaping early sentiment. Activist investor Elliott Management has reportedly built an over 10% stake in NCLH, according to the WSJ, a move that often sparks optimism among investors for potential strategic changes at the cruise operator.

In other M&A news, medical technology giant DHR $215.70 is reportedly nearing a $10 billion deal to acquire fellow med-tech firm MASI, as reported by the FT. Such an acquisition would likely provide a significant premium for MASI shareholders, while DHR $215.70 would expand its portfolio.

On the earnings front, NeoNVOT announced results that missed EPS estimates but managed to top revenue forecasts. This mixed bag could put pressure on the stock when markets open.

Globally, Asian markets presented a mixed picture overnight. Australian stocks, particularly resources giant BHP BHP, saw a boost, while Japanese markets extended losses following soft GDP data. These international movements will provide a backdrop for Tuesday's trading.

Stocks in Focus

BHP
Rising: Boosted by performance in Australian market.
DHR
Choppy: Reportedly nearing $10B acquisition of Masimo.
MASI
Rising: Target of reported $10B acquisition by Danaher.
NCLH
Rising: Activist Elliott builds over 10% stake.
NVOT
Falling: Earnings missed EPS, revenue topped estimates.