Weekend Focus: Tariff Threat Escalates to 15%; AI Momentum Strong
As markets remained closed for the weekend, trade policy uncertainty intensified significantly, setting an uneasy 'Wait-and-See' tone for the upcoming week. Initial market relief on Friday, following a Supreme Court decision that struck down certain prior emergency power tariffs, was quickly overshadowed. Reports indicated former President Trump's intent to order new global tariffs, now escalating to **15%**, a notable increase from earlier 10% proposals. This reintroduces significant trade headwinds and economists have voiced increased stress over the development, linking potential tariffs to a worsening U.S. debt outlook and raising concerns that a significant market downturn could dent U.S. consumption.
Despite these mounting macroeconomic headwinds and fears of business price hikes, the artificial intelligence sector continued its aggressive expansion. GOOGL $313.88 ▲ 3.21% DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis predicted that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) could have a 10x impact of the Industrial Revolution within a decade. This bullish outlook aligns with ongoing massive investments, as tech titans like AMZN $209.98 ▲ 2.55%, MSFT $397.31 ▲ 0.28%, NVDA $189.75 ▲ 1.73%, and SFTBY are reportedly planning significant capital injections into OpenAI's latest funding round. Analysts also highlighted **NVDA** and AVGO $332.09 ▼ 0.04% as "must-own" AI infrastructure stocks, with TSM and ALAB poised as key beneficiaries of the projected $650 billion data center buildout. Even TSLA $411.45 ▲ 1.34% CEO Elon Musk made a rare direct appeal for South Korean talent, signaling a ramp-up in the company's in-house AI chip design capabilities, despite ongoing scrutiny over Cybertruck demand issues.
Meanwhile, the consumer sector showed persistent signs of strain. Retail giant TGT reportedly faced declining weekend foot traffic and broader struggles, contrasting with improved traffic observed at WMT $122.83 ▼ 0.25%. Broader consumer weakness was evident with plummeting sales for KHC due to shrinkflation and rising costs. In the automotive sector, STLA grappled with a production crisis amidst its electric vehicle transition failures.
In notable corporate strategy shifts, **Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)** offered a glimpse into its evolving portfolio in what was described as Warren Buffett's final quarter as CEO. The conglomerate was a net seller of equities, reportedly trimming significant stakes in AAPL $264.13 ▲ 2.02%, BAC $53.02 ▲ 0.73%, and AMZN $209.98 ▲ 2.55%. However, **Berkshire** also made intriguing new bets, quietly building a position in NYT and increasing its stake in DPZ. Elsewhere, VZ $49.13 ▲ 0.49% announced plans to walk back a controversial device unlock policy, and RCL responded to customer demand by announcing a new class of smaller ships. On the downside, SNPS was downgraded to "Hold" by HSBC, and concerns over the financial sector emerged with reports that BLUE software lending sparked major private credit crisis fears. Other corporate news from Friday's close included Raymond James defending FROG, and VNDA surging on an FDA drug approval, while TEMP faced investor caution after its CEO sold shares.
Commodity markets displayed volatility, with Natural Gas prices surging amidst a cold snap and a new LNG terminal startup, and **Silver** also seeing gains on geopolitical tensions. Crude oil prices climbed, and UBS set a bold $6,200 gold target, both attributed to rising Middle East tensions, pointing to continued flight-to-safety interest in hard assets.