Live Market Brief

Friday, March 13, 2026

Last updated: 11:00 PM ET
🔴 LIVE 11:00 PM ET

AI Chip Export Curbs Withdrawn in Regulatory Pivot

The U.S. Commerce Department has quietly withdrawn its planned rule regarding global AI chip exports, a late-breaking development that provides a potential relief rally for semiconductor giants. The reversal specifically eases potential constraints on companies like NVDA $180.21 ▼ 2.57%, AMD AMD $193.41 ▼ 2.32%, and INTC $45.80 ▼ 0.35%, who have faced significant uncertainty regarding the global distribution of advanced silicon.

While the news offers a positive structural shift for the tech sector, it emerges against a backdrop of intensifying regional instability. Reports of an attack on Kharg Island have heightened concerns regarding Iranian oil exports, keeping global energy markets on edge throughout the weekend. With the SPY closing the week marginally higher at 0.23%, the combination of sudden regulatory easing in tech and escalating geopolitical tension sets a volatile stage for the next opening bell.

Stocks in Focus

AMD
Rising: Regulatory easing on global chip exports
INTC
Rising: Removal of AI chip export constraints
NVDA
Rising: Withdrawal of restrictive AI chip export rules
TSM
Rising: Potential boost from eased chip export rules
10:00 PM ET

Markets Close Week Under Geopolitical Shadow The SPY $662.30 ▼ 1.04% ended the session effectively flat, rising 0.23% as investors navigated a week defined by energy supply anxieties and cooling growth expectations. Following Friday's close, the market remains in a defensive posture as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist.

Corporate developments continue to surface in the post-market. MSFT $395.53 ▼ 1.31% and NVDA $180.21 ▼ 2.57% are back in the spotlight following confirmation of the first cloud validation for Vera Rubin chips, a move that could provide a technical tailwind for the AI sector. Conversely, META $613.69 ▼ 1.63% faces pressure from a planned 20% workforce reduction to manage rising AI capital expenditures. In the commodities space, thermal anomalies at the Kharg Island terminal have kept the XLE $57.69 ▲ 0.49% (Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund) in focus, while ANGX reported record revenue growth despite rising cost structures.

Stocks in Focus

ANGX
Rising: Reported 254% revenue growth in Q4
DNTH
Falling: CEO share sale of $10 million
HAL
Falling: Increased competition in fighter jet market
META
Falling: Announced 20% workforce cull for AI efficiency
MSFT
Rising: Validated Nvidia Vera Rubin chips in cloud
NVDA
Rising: Nvidia Vera Rubin chips validated by Microsoft
RGLXY
Rising: Streaming growth reported in Q4 results
SPY
Rising: Market consolidation after a volatile week
XLE
Rising: Energy infrastructure concerns following thermal anomalies
9:00 PM ET

Markets Close Week as Student Loan Clarity Fades With the market closed for the weekend, the SPY $662.30 ▼ 1.04% ended the week effectively flat, reflecting a period of consolidation following heightened geopolitical and macro-driven anxiety. Investors are now parsing through a significant blow to consumer sentiment: the formal termination of the federal SAVE student loan repayment plan.

While broad indices sit stagnant, corporate activity remains active. SOC saw a speculative lift following an executive order favoring California production, while AMRQ continued to draw interest after pivoting toward a dual-strategy expansion in mining and biotechnology. As the dissolution of SAVE forces millions of borrowers to restructure their debt, analysts remain cautious that this could act as a persistent headwind for discretionary consumer spending in the coming quarters.

Stocks in Focus

AMRQ
Rising: Dual-strategy expansion into biotechnology
SOC
Rising: Executive order favoring increased production
SPY
Choppy: Market consolidation amid geopolitical and macro uncertainty
8:00 PM ET

Markets Close Week as Student Loan Clarity Fades With the market closed for the weekend, the SPY $662.30 ▼ 1.04% remains essentially unchanged from its prior close, reflecting a period of consolidation following a week of heightened geopolitical and macro-driven anxiety. Investors are now parsing through a significant blow to consumer sentiment: the formal termination of the federal SAVE student loan repayment plan.

While the broader equity indices sit stagnant, corporate activity remains active in the post-market. SOC is seeing a speculative lift after an executive order opened the door for increased production in California, while AMRQ continues to draw interest following its pivot toward a dual-strategy expansion in mining and biotechnology. As the SAVE plan dissolution forces millions of borrowers to scramble for alternative repayment options, analysts remain cautious that this could act as a new headwind for discretionary consumer spending in the coming quarters.

Stocks in Focus

AMRQ
Rising: Diversification into biotech sector
SOC
Rising: Executive order facilitates California drilling
SPY
Wait-and-See: Markets closed for the weekend
7:00 PM ET

Markets Navigate Geopolitical Risks After Friday Close As the market remains closed for the weekend, focus shifts to lingering macroeconomic pressures and corporate developments. The SPY $662.30 ▼ 1.04% ended the week essentially flat with a marginal 0.23% gain, though the broader narrative remains dominated by energy supply anxieties following reported global disruptions.

Corporate activity continues to pulse in the post-market. RTX $204.45 ▲ 0.04% secured a $2 billion contract modification for satellite terminals, a move that reinforces the ongoing capital flight toward defense-oriented industrials. Meanwhile, retail sector scrutiny is heightening as DG attempts to pivot its store format toward a COST $1008.30 ▲ 0.05%-style membership and 'treasure hunt' model—a strategic shift met with investor skepticism following the firm's recent cautious guidance. Additionally, CRM $192.86 ▼ 3.63% has finalized a $25 billion senior notes offering, intended to fund aggressive share repurchases, while AMRQ is diversifying its profile through a new biotech expansion strategy.

Stocks in Focus

AMRQ
Rising: Pursuing dual mining and biotech strategy
COST
Wait-and-See: Benchmark for retail membership model
CRM
Wait-and-See: Completed $25B note offering for repurchases
DG
Falling: Investors reacting to decelerating growth guidance
RTX
Rising: Secured $2 billion satellite terminal contract
SPY
Choppy: Market closed for the weekend
6:00 PM ET

Markets Close Week as Global Energy Fears Intensify

As the closing bell marks the end of the week, the SPY $662.30 ▼ 1.04% reflects a market struggling under the weight of geopolitical instability and renewed supply-chain anxieties. Recent reports indicate a worsening global energy outlook, with concerns centering on the disruption of critical energy flows, which continues to drive volatility across all sectors.

In the post-market, UBER $73.16 ▼ 14.41% has captured attention as co-founder Travis Kalanick pivots to a specialized robotics venture with the launch of Atoms, a move that highlights the ongoing capital rotation toward emerging automation tech despite broader economic caution. Conversely, WBX faces administrative hurdles after receiving a non-compliance notice from the NYSE regarding its market capitalization, and 60 SXTP continues to see pressure following recent regulatory filings. With the week’s session concluded, investors are now recalibrating portfolios to account for heightened macro risks and persistent energy-driven inflation heading into the weekend.

Stocks in Focus

SPY
Falling: Concerns over global energy supply and growth
SXTP
Falling: Recent Form 424B5 regulatory filing
UBER
Rising: Co-founder launches new robotics venture, Atoms
WBX
Falling: NYSE non-compliance notice regarding market cap
5:00 PM ET

Markets Close Out Volatile Week Under Geopolitical Shadow Following Friday's 0.57% decline, the market enters the weekend defined by stagflationary fears and the persistent crisis in the Middle East. With the 10-year Treasury yield climbing on the back of regional instability, investors are increasingly shunning speculative assets in favor of yield-oriented stability.

The rotation into value remains clear, as reflected by the recent outperformance of the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF VYM, which has managed to sidestep the concentration risks currently plaguing the tech-heavy S&P 500. While corporate leaders like MSFT $401.17 ▼ 0.18% continue to pivot toward AI-integrated healthcare solutions, broader sentiment remains tempered by cooling GDP and the energy supply risks highlighted by GS.

As the conflict in Iran threatens to extend beyond its expected window, the focus shifts to defensive positioning. AVGO $324.84 ▼ 3.31% remains a central point of interest, balancing strong earnings potential against its heavy footprint in dividend-focused portfolios. Meanwhile, macro headwinds are being felt in the creative and professional services sectors, with WPP WPP facing credit rating pressure, providing a stark reminder that liquidity and leverage remain the market's primary stress points heading into next week.

Stocks in Focus

AVGO
Rising: Positive AI earnings outlook
BTI
Rising: Fitch rating upgrade on strong cash flow
GS
Wait-and-See: Reporting on severe supply chain disruptions
MSFT
Rising: Launch of Copilot Health and leadership transitions
VYM
Rising: Rotation into value and defensive yield
WBX
Falling: NYSE non-compliance notice
WPP
Falling: Moody's credit rating downgrade
4:00 PM ET

Stocks End Lower on Growth and Cyber Fears

The SPY $662.23 ▼ 0.57% closed down 0.57% for the session, failing to mount a meaningful recovery as stagflationary headwinds and corporate-specific risks weighed on sentiment. Investors spent the day rotating out of tech growth and into defensive positioning as the combination of cooling GDP and persistent inflation remains the market's primary narrative.

Corporate news kept volatility elevated in the final hours: ISRG $472.71 ▼ 16.57% shares slipped as the company grapples with an internal cybersecurity breach, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) remains in focus after CEO Greg Abel signaled confidence through recent share buybacks. Meanwhile, energy-sector strength remains a recurring theme; TALO hit a 52-week high, underlining the persistent supply-chain anxiety driving capital toward commodities. Looking ahead, the structural challenges facing luxury retail—highlighted by recent bankruptcy-related layoffs at Saks Global—suggest that consumer-discretionary headwinds are likely to persist into the next week.

Stocks in Focus

AAOI
Rising: Raised price target from Rosenblatt to $140
BRK.B
Wait-and-See: Management resumes buybacks amid cash-pile focus
ISRG
Falling: Internal cybersecurity breach and phishing attack
PARA
Falling: Potential $1B+ increase in NFL media costs
SPY
Falling: Concerns over GDP growth and sticky inflation
TALO
Rising: Hit 52-week high amid commodity sector strength
3:00 PM ET

Stocks Fade as Growth Fears Intensify The SPY $664.05 ▼ 0.30% is down 0.30% on the day, struggling to regain footing after a steady drift lower throughout the session. Despite a brief moment of optimism during the overnight gap, the reality of stagnant GDP and sticky inflation has pushed the index 0.77% lower from this morning's opening bell.

Amidst the broader malaise, some idiosyncratic bright spots are emerging. HIMX is rallying on reports of its critical role in NVDA $180.93 ▼ 1.19% data centers and potential integration into AAPL $251.12 ▼ 1.80% smart-glasses. Meanwhile, MU is drawing tactical attention as traders position ahead of earnings, betting that elevated memory prices will translate into a bottom-line surprise. However, these gains are countered by a darkening global macro backdrop, including rising corporate insolvencies in Germany and a sharp contraction in U.S. labor demand.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Rising: Potential integration of HIMX optics in smart-glasses
HIMX
Rising: Reports of supply chain links to NVDA and AAPL
MU
Rising: Speculative buying ahead of earnings on memory price trends
NVDA
Rising: Market speculation regarding AI optics supply chain
SPY
Falling: Concerns over GDP stagnation and sticky inflation
2:00 PM ET

Stocks Extend Losses as Stagflation Fears Deepen

The SPY $662.78 ▼ 0.49% is down 0.49% on the day, struggling to find a floor as the market continues to retreat from its opening highs, currently sitting 0.96% below the 9:30 AM open. The combination of persistent inflation and disappointing GDP growth is forcing a defensive rotation, with investors increasingly skeptical of AI-driven premiums.

Corporate news is adding to the headwinds: AAPL $250.73 ▼ 1.95% shares remain under scrutiny following reports of mandatory commission cuts in China, a move that weighs on sentiment for partners like TCEHY and ByteBDNCE. In the AI space, NVDA $180.61 ▼ 1.37% is attempting to capture attention ahead of its GTC conference with new chip-betting narratives, but the broader sector remains pressured by cooling growth expectations. Meanwhile, BCS has added to the macro gloom, explicitly warning that the Federal Reserve may be forced to delay rate cuts due to the recent inflation data. Further darkening the mood, reports of instability in Elon Musk’s xAI initiatives suggest that the aggressive pace of AI development may be hitting operational speed bumps.

Stocks in Focus

AAPL
Falling: China App Store commission cuts
BCS
Falling: Fed rate cut skepticism
BDNCE
Falling: Regulatory pressure on China tech
NVDA
Choppy: GTC conference expectations and AI competition
SPY
Falling: Concerns over GDP and inflation
TCEHY
Falling: Regulatory pressure on China tech
12:00 PM ET

Stocks Dip as Economic Stagnation Fears Take Hold The SPY $663.63 ▼ 0.36% is down 0.36% from yesterday's close, failing to sustain an earlier overnight gap-up as investors digest a cooling growth environment. While markets attempted an early rally, the combination of sticky inflation and tepid GDP data has renewed selling pressure, dragging the index down 0.84% from the morning's open.

Tech and growth sentiment remains under pressure; AMZN $207.26 ▼ 1.10% is navigating a massive $54 billion bond raise alongside a new strategic partnership with Cerebras Systems to offer AI inference services on AWS, yet broader sector rotation away from high-multiple tech persists. Meanwhile, retail distress is mounting as furniture chains face bankruptcy waves, and BMBL is sliding following a UBS price target cut. On the bright side, PayPYPL is seeing a strong surge following its IPO, and energy remains a primary hedge as supply chain anxieties persist.

Stocks in Focus

AMZN
Choppy: Record $54B bond issuance and new AI chip deal
BMBL
Falling: UBS price target cut due to monetization concerns
Cerebras
Rising: Announced cloud inference partnership with Amazon
DAVE
Rising: William Blair growth potential endorsement
LIN
Rising: JPMorgan bullish outlook on helium supply position
PYPL
Rising: Strong momentum following recent IPO
SPY
Falling: Concerns over 0.7% GDP print and sticky inflation
VEON
Rising: Digital revenue growth of 619% in Q4
11:00 AM ET

Stocks Hold Gains as Energy Hedges Shine The SPY $666.79 ▲ 0.11% is up 0.11% on the day, consolidating after an initial post-open dip. While the broader market is grappling with a combination of sticky 3.1% Core PCE inflation and a disappointing 0.7% GDP print, capital is clearly rotating into energy-exposed names as supply chain anxieties over the Iran conflict persist.

Corporate news remains a tale of divergence. TSLA $393.50 ▼ 0.39% is attracting attention after receiving clearance to shift $2 billion in xAI capital into SpaceX ahead of a potential IPO. Conversely, the tech sector is facing a reality check: ADBE $254.52 ▼ 5.77% is reeling from analyst downgrades on ARR concerns, and META $618.20 ▼ 3.12% is struggling following the delay of its 'Avocado' AI model. Meanwhile, AAPL $255.64 ▼ 0.03% is seeing a modest boost from a China-specific fee cut, and CNP has climbed to all-time highs as defensive utility exposure remains in favor.

Stocks in Focus

AA
Rising: Analyst upgrade amid aluminum supply risks
AAPL
Rising: Positive outlook on China iOS fee cuts
ADBE
Falling: BMO price target cut on ARR concerns
APEI
Rising: Texas Capital target hike on strong Q4
CNP
Rising: Utility sector strength hitting all-time highs
CPRT
Falling: Stock hits 52-week low
META
Falling: Delayed launch of 'Avocado' AI model
RBRK
Falling: BMO price target cut on multiple compression
S
Falling: Stephens valuation-based price target cut
SPY
Rising: Holding gains despite stagflationary macro data
TICS
Falling: Texas Capital target cut on integration focus
TSLA
Rising: Capital reallocation into SpaceX stake
ULTA
Falling: Rising costs hitting margins
VG
Rising: RBC price target hike on LNG pricing
10:40 AM ET

Stocks Muted as Inflation Prints Heat Up

The SPY $669.24 ▲ 0.48% is up 0.48% from yesterday's close, holding on to early gains despite a cooler-than-expected GDP print of 0.7% and a sticky 3.1% year-on-year Core PCE reading. While the initial reaction to the data was reflexive volatility, markets have largely stabilized as investors pivot toward energy hedges and specific corporate idiosyncratic stories.

Energy remains the primary beneficiary of supply-chain anxiety; OXY continues to command investor interest as regional tensions in Iran keep supply risk premiums elevated. Conversely, the tech sector is experiencing a rotation out of legacy growth toward defensive plays. ADBE $252.00 ▼ 6.70% remains under heavy selling pressure following its quarterly results and downward guidance revisions. META $622.04 ▼ 2.52% is also facing headwinds today following news of its delayed 'Avocado' AI model, joining a broader peer group of NVDA $183.61 ▲ 0.27%, GOOGL $305.93 ▲ 0.81%, and AMZN $208.44 ▼ 0.54% that are grappling with intensified competition in proprietary chip development. Elsewhere, KinderKLC is struggling significantly, down 32% following an enrollment-driven guidance cut.

Stocks in Focus

ADBE
Falling: Disappointing earnings and guidance
AMZN
Falling: Sector-wide AI competition pressure
GOOGL
Falling: Sector-wide AI competition pressure
KLC
Falling: Weak enrollment guidance
META
Falling: AI model development delays
NVDA
Falling: Broader tech sector competition concerns
OXY
Rising: Energy supply security premiums
SPY
Rising: Market stabilizing despite stagflationary data
10:15 AM ET

Stocks Struggle for Direction as Inflation Prints Hot The SPY $666.05 is up a marginal 0.15% on the day, struggling to find momentum as investors weigh a disappointing 0.7% GDP print against core inflation that remains stubbornly high at 3.1%. The market is trapped in a classic stagflationary fear cycle, with stagnant growth colliding with persistent price pressures.

Energy remains the primary refuge for risk-off capital, with OXY rallying 5.83% as the conflict in Iran raises alarms over global supply chains. Conversely, tech and growth are under the microscope; ADBE $270.10 is reeling from a disappointing earnings update, while sector heavyweights NVDA $183.11, GOOGL $303.47, AMZN $209.57, and META $638.09 face headwinds from intensifying proprietary chip competition. Elsewhere, KinderKLC is cratering 32% on weak guidance, while COST $1003.38 remains a rare bright spot as its aggressive urban expansion strategy captures investor confidence.

Stocks in Focus

ADBE
Falling: Disappointing earnings report
AMZN
Falling: Sector-wide tech scrutiny
COST
Rising: Aggressive expansion and robust membership growth
GOOGL
Falling: Sector-wide tech scrutiny
KLC
Falling: Weak guidance and analyst downgrades
META
Falling: Chip competition and product release delays
NVDA
Falling: Intensifying competition in proprietary chip development
OXY
Rising: Geopolitical conflict in Iran driving energy supply fears
SPY
Rising: Mixed macro data and energy sector strength
10:00 AM ET

Stocks Mixed as Inflation Data Disappoints The SPY $666.05 is effectively flat (+0.15%) as markets digest a combination of sticky inflation and tepid growth. Core PCE inflation rose 3.1% year-on-year, reinforcing the "higher for longer" narrative, while fourth-quarter GDP growth was revised down to a meager 0.7%, fueling concerns about economic stagnation.

Tech shares are under pressure as competition intensifies; NVDA $183.11, GOOGL $303.47, AMZN $209.57, and META $638.09 are facing scrutiny as peers accelerate proprietary AI chip development, with META $638.09 also hampered by reports of a delayed "Avocado" model release. Elsewhere, ADBE $270.10 is diving on a disappointing earnings report. On the bright side, COST $1003.38 continues to draw bullish attention due to its aggressive expansion strategy and robust membership growth, while OXY surges 5.83% as energy supply concerns persist amid the conflict in Iran. Meanwhile, KinderKLC is plummeting 32% following weak guidance and subsequent analyst downgrades.

Stocks in Focus

ADBE
Falling: Disappointing quarterly earnings
AMZN
Falling: Increased AI chip competition
COST
Rising: Strong expansion plans and membership growth
GOOGL
Falling: Increased AI chip competition
KLC
Falling: Weak guidance and analyst downgrades
META
Falling: Delayed AI model and chip competition concerns
NVDA
Falling: Big Tech rivals building proprietary AI chips
OXY
Rising: Energy supply fears amid Iran conflict
SPY
Choppy: Stagnant growth and sticky inflation weigh on indices
9:00 AM ET

Markets Stagnate as Geopolitical Fears and Macro Headwinds Collide

Equities remain in a tight holding pattern this morning, with SPY $666.05 essentially flat (+0.15%) as the market struggles to find direction ahead of the opening bell. The narrative remains dominated by a “triple threat”: persistent inflation worries following the latest Core PCE data, significant energy supply disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz, and broader economic malaise as GDP growth remains tepid.

Corporate activity is providing a fractured backdrop. IMMP is leading the decliners, plummeting 80% after halting a critical lung cancer trial. Meanwhile, the AI trade is seeing a reality check; NVDA $183.11, GOOGL $303.47, AMZN $209.57, and META $638.09 are facing scrutiny as competitors double down on proprietary chip development. On the brighter side, GSK GSK is finding support following vaccine regulatory wins, and NVO and LLY $977.39 remain in focus as Medicare finalizes GLP-1 coverage details, though investors remain wary of the program's long-term sustainability. Elsewhere, CVX $196.96 continues to navigate a major workforce restructuring.

Stocks in Focus

ADBE
Falling: Rating cut by Barclays
AMZN
Wait-and-See: Developing proprietary AI chips
CSG
Rising: Deutsche Bank upgrade
CVX
Wait-and-See: Ongoing company-wide restructuring and layoffs
GOOGL
Wait-and-See: Developing proprietary AI chips
GSK
Rising: RSV vaccine regulatory approval
IMMP
Falling: Lung cancer trial halted
LLY
Wait-and-See: Medicare GLP-1 coverage updates
META
Wait-and-See: Developing proprietary AI chips
NVDA
Wait-and-See: Increased competition in AI chip infrastructure
NVO
Wait-and-See: Medicare GLP-1 coverage updates
SPY
Choppy: Mixed macro data and geopolitical tensions
SVRA
Rising: FDA priority review granted
8:00 AM ET

Markets Flatline as PCE Data Approaches

Equities are treading water in pre-market action, with SPY $666.05 holding essentially flat (+0.00%) as investors await upcoming PCE inflation data. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the escalating disruption at the Strait of Hormuz, continue to weigh on sentiment, keeping energy prices elevated and global supply chains in focus.

Corporate news remains a mixed bag. MSFT $401.89 is seeing a modest boost as the company integrates Anthropic’s technology into its Copilot ecosystem. Meanwhile, the healthcare sector is finding support after GSK GSK received US approval for its RSV vaccine for younger high-risk adults. Conversely, EEX is under pressure following an earnings miss, and analysts have trimmed price targets on both HOOD and ADBE $270.10, citing valuation concerns and leadership transitions. With energy-sensitive assets remaining volatile, the market appears locked in a defensive holding pattern ahead of the opening bell.

Stocks in Focus

ADBE
Falling: Price target cut by Mizuho
CVX
Wait-and-See: Restructuring and global workforce reductions
EEX
Falling: Earnings miss
GSK
Rising: FDA approval for RSV vaccine
HOOD
Falling: Price target cut by Mizuho
MSFT
Rising: Integration of Anthropic tech into Copilot
SPY
Wait-and-See: Investors awaiting PCE inflation data
7:00 AM ET

Markets Flatline as Investors Weigh AI Wins Against Energy Scares

Equities remain in a holding pattern this morning, with SPY $666.05 essentially flat (+0.0015%) as the market struggles to find a directional catalyst. Geopolitical anxieties—centered on energy supply chain risks—are being tempered by pockets of corporate optimism, keeping broader indices in a tight consolidation range ahead of the opening bell.

Tech sentiment is receiving a modest boost from NVDA $183.11 following reports that ByteDance has secured access to high-end Blackwell chips, signaling continued robust demand for AI infrastructure. Conversely, the automotive and retail sectors are facing headwinds; HMC remains under pressure following a bearish downgrade on EV losses, and EEX is set to weigh on consumer-adjacent sentiment after reporting an earnings miss. Meanwhile, healthcare continues to show isolated strength as GSK GSK climbs on positive regulatory news for its RSV vaccine.

Stocks in Focus

EEX
Falling: Missed earnings expectations by $0.20
GSK
Rising: US regulatory approval for RSV vaccine
HMC
Falling: Morgan Stanley downgrade citing deepening EV losses
NVDA
Rising: Positive sentiment from reports of Blackwell chip access
SPY
Choppy: Markets holding flat amid geopolitical and macro uncertainty
6:00 AM ET

Markets Stall as Energy Supply Fears Intensify The SPY $666.05 remains essentially flat (+0.002%) in pre-market action as traders grapple with mounting geopolitical risks. News that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz have plummeted 97%—reported by GS—is fueling supply anxiety, while rising UK gilt yields add to the prevailing macro pressure.

Company-specific stories are providing a distraction from the broader malaise: WLN shares are surging 17% following a rights issue launch, while NIO is catching a bid after an HSBC upgrade citing improved profitability. Conversely, ULTA is facing selling pressure on a weak annual outlook, and LIN $484.28 and ZAL are seeing tactical interest following new analyst coverage. With retail investor sentiment cooling after February’s gains, the market lacks a clear catalyst for a directional break before the opening bell.

Stocks in Focus

GS
Falling: Reports of 97% decline in Hormuz oil flows
LIN
Rising: Initiated with overweight rating by JPMorgan
NIO
Rising: HSBC upgrade on profitability outlook
SPY
Choppy: Markets holding flat amid geopolitical and macro uncertainty
ULTA
Falling: Weak annual outlook
WLN
Rising: Launch of €392 million rights issue
ZAL
Rising: Bernstein upgrade on valuation
5:00 AM ET

Markets Hold Steady in Defensive Pre-Market Stance The SPY $666.05 remains effectively unchanged (+0.0015%) this morning, failing to find a clear directional catalyst as investors grapple with deepening geopolitical unease and a mixed corporate landscape.

While broad indices are static, individual equities are reacting to a flurry of headlines. ADM is drawing interest following an upgrade to “outperform” on the back of a robust profit beat. Conversely, HMC continues to face selling pressure as the company forced a reassessment of its EV strategy, and AIZ is under scrutiny after announcing a 5% flight capacity cut to combat surging fuel costs. Meanwhile, institutional flow remains focused on stability; MSFT $401.89 saw a fresh vote of confidence as Bowie Capital Management increased its stake in the tech giant.

Stocks in Focus

ADM
Rising: Outperform upgrade following profit beat
AIZ
Falling: Capacity reduction due to rising fuel costs
HMC
Falling: Negative sentiment regarding EV strategy overhaul
MSFT
Rising: Increased institutional ownership signaling confidence
SPY
Choppy: Investors balancing geopolitical tensions against earnings
4:00 AM ET

Markets Stall as Global Growth Fears Mount

Equities are treading water in pre-market action, with SPY $666.05 holding essentially flat (+0.001%) as investors digest a wave of negative macroeconomic signals. The UK economy's failure to meet growth forecasts and the U.S. government's launch of new unfair-trade probes are further darkening the mood, compounding concerns over persistent geopolitical friction.

Corporate headlines are doing little to lift the gloom. HMC continues to struggle as the automaker reassesses its EV strategy, keeping the sector under pressure. On the positive side, SABR is seeing a lift after an earnings beat prompted an upgrade from Jefferies, though such isolated gains are failing to provide any meaningful lift to broader indices as market participants brace for the opening bell.

Stocks in Focus

HMC
Falling: EV strategy reassessment and persistent market challenges
SABR
Rising: Earnings beat and Jefferies upgrade
SPY
Choppy: Mixed macro data and geopolitical uncertainty
3:00 AM ET

Markets Tread Water Amid Mixed Corporate Signals Global sentiment remains fractured as the overnight session offers little directional conviction for SPY $666.05, which sits essentially flat (+0.001%) heading into the final hours before the opening bell. While geopolitical tensions continue to cast a shadow over broader risk appetite, a flurry of company-specific headlines is dictating pre-market movement.

MSFT $401.89 remains a bright spot for tech sentiment, with analysts reaffirming bullish outlooks on its AI positioning. Conversely, HMC is facing renewed selling pressure following a CLSA downgrade tied to EV-related losses, and PAR PAR is under weight after pricing a $250 million convertible note offering. In the commodities space, BTC has reclaimed the $71k level as traders weigh domestic regulatory optimism against ongoing regional conflicts in Iran, which continue to keep energy-sensitive assets volatile.

Stocks in Focus

BTC
Rising: Regulatory optimism outweighs geopolitical jitters
HMC
Falling: CLSA downgrade citing EV losses
MSFT
Rising: Jefferies reaffirms Buy rating on AI strength
ONDS
Rising: Secured $15.8M Israel demining contract
PAR
Falling: Pricing of $250M convertible note offering
SABR
Rising: Jefferies upgrade following earnings beat
SPY
Wait-and-See: Market directionless ahead of Friday open
2:00 AM ET

Corporate Tailwinds Counteract Geopolitical Stagnation The overnight session remains pinned to a narrow range, with SPY $666.05 essentially flat (+0.001%) as investors balance regional conflicts against corporate catalysts. While macro sentiment remains fragile, optimism around NVDA $183.11 continues to provide a floor for tech sentiment as markets anticipate the company’s upcoming AI showcase.

Sector-specific volatility is mounting in the pre-market. HMC is under pressure following a downgrade from CLSA citing deepening EV losses, while PAR PAR is facing headwinds after pricing a $250 million convertible note offering. Conversely, M&A chatter is surfacing in the materials sector, with reports that GLNCY may be looking to revive a potential deal with RIO as coal price volatility creates new opportunistic windows.

Stocks in Focus

GLNCY
Rising: Speculation of revived Rio Tinto merger
HMC
Falling: CLSA downgrade on deepening EV losses
NVDA
Rising: Investor optimism ahead of major AI event
PAR
Falling: Pricing of $250M convertible note offering
RIO
Rising: Potential M&A activity with Glencore
SPY
Wait-and-See: Holding flat amidst conflicting macro signals
1:00 AM ET

Corporate Headwinds Surface in Quiet Overnight Session Global sentiment remains fractured as traders sift through a mixed bag of corporate updates. While the broader market, as represented by SPY $666.05, is effectively flat, underlying sector volatility is picking up.

HMC is dragging on the auto sector, sliding nearly 7% after the automaker flagged its first annual loss in seven decades. Meanwhile, GFR added to the negative sentiment, cutting its 2026 production guidance due to well downtime. On a brighter note, NVDA $183.11 remains in focus after reports indicated that ByteDance has gained access to Blackwell chips, providing a minor tailwind for the semiconductor giant amid an otherwise cautious overnight environment.

Stocks in Focus

GFR
Falling: Reduced 2026 output guidance due to well downtime
HMC
Falling: Flagged first annual loss in 70 years
NVDA
Rising: ByteDance gained access to Blackwell AI chips
SPY
Choppy: Holding steady amidst mixed corporate earnings reports
12:00 AM ET

Markets Flatline as Earnings Contrast With Geopolitical Gloom Markets remained effectively unchanged in overnight activity, with SPY $666.05 holding steady at $666.06 following Thursday's decline. Investors are currently weighing diverging signals: ongoing geopolitical friction—specifically conflict in Iran—is keeping energy prices elevated and sentiment fragile, even as isolated corporate bright spots emerge.

Highlighting the post-market activity, SenesSNES posted a strong Q4, reporting a 20% revenue increase buoyed by a substantial 88% surge in e-commerce. While the micro-cap gain offers a rare positive headline, broader macro concerns regarding systemic risk and inflation remain the primary drivers for institutional positioning as the market prepares for the next session.

Stocks in Focus

SNES
Rising: Strong Q4 earnings with 20% revenue growth.
SPY
Choppy: Market consolidation amid geopolitical and macro uncertainty.