BLK Research Archive
Complete daily research dossier: Executive analysis, morning notes, mid-day checks, and closing recaps
February 3, 2026
Tuesday
Morning Note
3:09 PM
BlackRock Shares Slip Despite Acquisition Bid, Underperforming Strong Financials Sector
Shares of BlackRock (BLK) are trading lower by 0.54% this morning, demonstrating notable relative weakness despite positive news regarding its GIP unit teaming up with EQT for a bid to acquire power firm AES. The asset manager opened higher at $1116.64 but has since retreated, currently underperforming significantly as the broader S&P 500 registers a gain of 0.37% and the Financials sector surges over 2.7%. The price action suggests a struggle to hold momentum against the backdrop of an otherwise strong market for financials. Investors are seemingly looking past the potential acquisition news, with the stock unable to participate in the broader rally.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Plunges on Acquisition Bid; Significant Underperformance
Shares of BlackRock (BLK) are experiencing a sharp sell-off today, dropping 6.82% mid-day to $1042.35. This significant decline comes despite news that BlackRockβs GIP teams are partnering with EQT in a bid to acquire power firm AES. The market appears to be reacting negatively to the potential acquisition or its implied capital allocation strategy, completely overshadowing the ostensibly positive nature of the news itself.
BLK is showing pronounced relative weakness, not only against the broader S&P 500, which is down a modest 0.83%, but also against its Financials sector peers, which are actually trading up 0.67%. The stock has decisively broken below its 200-day Simple Moving Average of $1096.22, turning this key technical level into immediate resistance. Further downside could test the psychological $1000 mark.
February 2, 2026
Monday
Executive Analysis Snapshot
2:00 PM ETBLK: Dominant Asset Manager Navigates Macro Headwinds and Fund Specifics
BlackRock benefits from its market dominance in ETFs and its proprietary Aladdin platform, which provide resilient revenue streams. However, current headwinds from a specific underperforming private credit fund and broader macroeconomic warnings introduce notable near-term uncertainty. With technicals signaling 'WAIT / CAUTION' and a neutral RSI, we recommend a Neutral stance, acknowledging the strong long-term fundamentals but advising caution due to potential market volatility and specific product risks.
Bull Case
- β’ Continued secular growth in passive investing and ETFs (iShares) driving Assets Under Management (AUM) expansion globally.
- β’ Sticky, high-margin revenue growth from the Aladdin investment technology platform as it expands its client base.
- β’ Strategic expansion into alternative investments and private markets, capturing higher fees and meeting growing institutional demand.
Bear Case
- β’ Recent reports of a BlackRock-tied private-credit fund being 'hammered' could signal wider risks in alternative asset classes or lead to client redemptions.
- β’ Macroeconomic concerns (e.g., U.S. national debt warning from JPM CEO) pose significant risk to overall market performance, directly impacting AUM and fee revenue.
- β’ Persistent fee compression within the asset management industry, coupled with intense competition, continues to pressure profit margins.
Morning Note
2:15 PM
BlackRock Gaps Down Sharply Below Key Support
BlackRock (BLK) is set to open significantly lower, down 13.36% in pre-market trading. The sharp decline, which is well below the 200-day simple moving average of $1094.37, appears to be driven by technical breakdown rather than specific news. While the broader Financial Services sector is also weak, BLK's move is considerably more severe, indicating significant technical selling pressure. The prior close was $1120.37, and the pre-market price is currently testing $969.69. This move below the 200-day SMA suggests a potential shift in momentum.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Shows Resilience Above Key Technical Levels
BlackRock (BLK) is trading up 0.32% midday, bucking the negative trend in its Financial Services sector, which is down over 4.4%. Despite no direct company news, BLK is demonstrating notable relative strength. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average of $1095.07 and showing positive momentum as the MACD remains above its signal line. The current price action suggests technical buyers are stepping in, allowing BLK to outperform a weak sector and a strong market (SPY +0.96%).
January 30, 2026
Friday
Morning Note
2:15 PM
BlackRock Gaps Down Sharply on Technical Breakdown
BlackRock (BLK) is set to open significantly lower, with pre-market futures indicating a drop of over 14% from its previous close. This sharp decline appears to be driven by a technical breakdown, as the stock is trading well below its 200-day moving average of $1093. While there is no direct company-specific or sector news, the aggressive move lower suggests a potential shift in market sentiment or a significant technical event. BLK is showing relative weakness compared to the S&P 500 futures, which are also indicating a down open. Key support is now eyed around the $950-$960 levels.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Drags as Financial Sector Sees Significant Selloff
BlackRock (BLK) is trading down 0.8% mid-day, underperforming the broader market as the Financial Services sector experiences a significant decline of over 6%. While there's no company-specific news, BLK is being pulled lower by the broad-based weakness in its sector, indicating market-wide concerns within financial services. The stock is holding above its 200-day moving average at $1093.66, but its relative weakness against SPY's slight decline (-0.17%) suggests headwinds. Resistance is forming around the $1120 opening price.
Closing Recap
9:15 PM
BlackRock Breaks Below Key Support Amid Sector Sell-Off
BlackRock (BLK) finished the trading session sharply lower, down 13.36% post-market, significantly underperforming the broader market and its peers. Despite a positive day for the S&P 500, which gained 0.08%, the financial services sector experienced a steep decline of over 8.6%. There was no primary news driving this move, indicating a technical breakdown coupled with broad sector weakness. BLK decisively breached its 200-day moving average, currently sitting around $1094.37, closing well below it at $969.69. This break of a key long-term support level, combined with its poor relative strength, suggests further downside may be on the horizon.
January 29, 2026
Thursday
Executive Analysis Snapshot
2:00 PM ETBLK: Navigating Private Credit Turbulence Amid Macro Uncertainty
BlackRock remains a titan in asset management, boasting fundamental strength and diversification. However, recent negative sentiment surrounding its private credit ventures and broader macroeconomic concerns present notable headwinds. While no direct financial red flags from SEC filings were provided, potential issues in alternative asset valuations warrant close monitoring. The 'WAIT / CAUTION' technical signal reinforces a neutral stance. Investors should exercise caution, tracking AUM trends, fund performance, and any developments related to the private credit segment.
Bull Case
- β’ As the world's largest asset manager, BLK is inherently well-positioned to benefit from any sustained global market recovery, leading to AUM growth and a corresponding increase in fee income.
- β’ BlackRock's diversified product suite, including its dominant iShares ETF platform and expanding alternative investment offerings, provides resilience and multiple avenues for capital attraction in varied market cycles.
- β’ Potential for increased demand in specialized investment strategies, such as inflation-hedging or fixed-income products, could bolster AUM if interest rates stabilize or macro uncertainty persists, leveraging BlackRock's expertise.
Bear Case
- β’ Recent reports of a BlackRock-tied private-credit fund being 'hammered' introduce reputational risk and could signal broader performance issues in its alternative investment segment, potentially leading to outflows.
- β’ The technical indicators of 'WAIT / CAUTION' and a negative confluence score (-1/8) suggest a lack of immediate buying momentum and potential for near-term price weakness or consolidation.
- β’ Broader macroeconomic headwinds, highlighted by warnings on U.S. national debt from major financial leaders, could dampen overall investor confidence and lead to a slowdown in AUM growth across the financial services sector.
Morning Note
2:15 PM
BlackRock Opens Higher, Tests Key Resistance
BlackRock (BLK) is set to open higher this morning, with pre-market indicators showing a gain of approximately 1.3%. The stock is approaching its prior close, trading near $1119.74. This move comes as BLK appears to be breaking out above its 200-day moving average, currently situated around $1091.52, and showing relative strength compared to the broader market, which is trading slightly in the red pre-market. While there's no specific company or sector news, this upward technical momentum warrants attention.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Fades Midday Gains Amid Broader Market Weakness
BlackRock (BLK) is trading lower by 0.47% midday, failing to hold earlier gains. Despite the stock's own technical strength, indicated by its move above the 200-day moving average ($1092.21), it is succumbing to broad market pressure as the S&P 500 is down nearly 1%. While there's no specific negative news for BLK or the financial services sector, the overall risk-off sentiment is weighing on the asset manager. The stock is showing relative weakness compared to the market today.
Closing Recap
9:15 PM
BlackRock Suffers Significant Technical Breakdown
BlackRock (BLK) closed significantly lower, down 14.04% after hours, despite a flat performance from the broader financial sector and a modest decline in the S&P 500 (-0.28%). The sharp drop appears to be driven by a technical breakdown, with the stock closing well below its 200-day moving average ($1092.99). With no significant news catalysts today, the price action points to a loss of technical support and potential for further selling pressure as traders react to the breach of this key long-term level.
January 28, 2026
Wednesday
Executive Analysis Snapshot
2:00 PM ETBLK: Macro Headwinds & Private Credit Concerns Cloud AUM Growth
BlackRock remains a dominant force in asset management with strong long-term growth drivers, particularly in alternatives and ETFs. However, recent challenges in its private credit segment, coupled with broad macroeconomic concerns highlighted by banking leaders, create a cautious near-term outlook. The technical indicators also advise caution. While fundamentally sound, investors should closely monitor specific fund performance and global economic trends. The lack of specific SEC filing data prevents a deeper forensic assessment, but potential risks within managed debt portfolios warrant attention. Maintain a Neutral stance with a keen eye on credit markets and BlackRock's alternative investment performance.
Bull Case
- β’ Robust AUM Growth: BlackRock's diversified investment platform is poised to benefit from broader market appreciation and continued institutional/retail inflows into ETFs and alternative products, driving fee revenue.
- β’ Leadership in Alternative Investments: Continued expansion and innovation in higher-margin private credit, infrastructure, and other alternative asset classes offer significant growth opportunities for the firm.
- β’ Strategic Influence: Speculation around key BlackRock figures like Rick Rieder potentially gaining higher public office highlights the firm's significant influence, which could translate into a favorable operating and regulatory environment.
Bear Case
- β’ Underperformance in Private Credit: Recent news indicates a private-credit fund tied to BlackRock is 'getting hammered,' signaling potential asset quality issues or reduced investor confidence in a key growth area.
- β’ Macroeconomic Headwinds: Warnings from banking leaders regarding U.S. national debt and potential economic instability pose significant risks to overall market performance and, consequently, BlackRock's fee-generating AUM.
- β’ Technical Caution: The Confluence Score of -1/8 and 'WAIT / CAUTION' recommendation suggest technical weakness or a lack of clear upward momentum, indicating potential for consolidation or downward pressure.
Morning Note
2:15 PM
BlackRock Opens Flat Amidst Fed Chair Speculation
BlackRock (BLK) is trading slightly down in pre-market action, showing a modest -0.60% change, slightly underperforming the broader market's positive futures. This comes as news circulates that BlackRock's Rick Rieder is being considered for the Federal Reserve Chair position. While this is a significant potential development, the stock's muted reaction suggests the market is taking a wait-and-see approach. BLK is trading just above its 200-day moving average of $1090, which is now serving as key support. Resistance remains at the previous day's high of $1129.69.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Gains Amid Fed Chair Speculation
BlackRock (BLK) is trading higher by 0.38% in mid-day action, outperforming a slightly negative market and sector. The move appears to be driven by market speculation that Rick Rieder, BlackRock's Chief Investment Officer, is a potential candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair. While this is not a company-specific earnings event, the news is directly related to a high-profile executive and has a clear impact on the stock's valuation. BLK is currently trading above its 200-day moving average of $1090.73, showing relative strength against the broader market.
Closing Recap
9:15 PM
BlackRock Rallies on Fed Chair Speculation, Outperforms Sector
BlackRock (BLK) finished the session higher by 1.31%, bucking the broader market weakness and significantly outperforming the Financial Services sector, which fell 2.55%. Speculation regarding BlackRock's Rick Rieder as a potential next Federal Reserve Chair appears to be driving the stock's outperformance. While the market was generally down, BLK held its ground and showed relative strength. The stock also managed to close above its 200-day moving average, currently sitting around $1091, indicating a potentially constructive technical setup heading into tomorrow.
January 27, 2026
Tuesday
Executive Analysis Snapshot
2:00 PM ETBLK: Macro Headwinds & Private Credit Concerns Cloud AUM Growth
BlackRock benefits from its dominant position in asset management and long-term AUM growth trends. However, recent negative sentiment regarding its private credit vehicles, combined with macro warnings on national debt from both its CEO and other financial leaders, suggest potential near-term headwinds. While fundamentals are generally robust for this blue-chip financial, the lack of detailed SEC filing data prevents a full forensic deep dive into the specific risks mentioned in the news. We remain Neutral, advising caution due to potential market and product-specific risks.
Bull Case
- β’ Resilient AUM growth driven by continued market appreciation across diversified portfolios.
- β’ Strategic expansion into high-growth alternative asset classes and private credit, commanding higher fees.
- β’ Strong demand for iShares ETFs and other passive investment solutions, attracting steady capital inflows regardless of market cycles.
Bear Case
- β’ Macroeconomic headwinds, including concerns over U.S. national debt and higher interest rates, could reduce investor appetite and lead to AUM contraction.
- β’ Increased competition and potential fee compression in the asset management industry, impacting profitability margins.
- β’ Negative sentiment surrounding BlackRock's private-credit funds could lead to redemptions or reputational damage, impacting new business flows.
Morning Note
2:15 PM
BlackRock Faces Pre-Market Pressure, Tests Key Support
BlackRock (BLK) is indicating a significant pre-market decline, trading down 7.04% in the pre-market session. While there's no direct company or sector news driving this move, the stock is experiencing heavy selling pressure and appears to be testing its 200-day moving average around $1088. This technical level will be crucial to watch on the open. The broader market futures are slightly positive, indicating relative weakness for BLK today.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Trades Lower Amid Broader Financial Sector Weakness
BlackRock (BLK) is down 1.77% midday, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 0.27% gain. The financial services sector is experiencing broad weakness, down 3.86% today, dragging BLK lower despite a lack of company-specific news. The stock is trading below its open and is testing support near its 200-day moving average at $1089. Traders are watching for a potential break of this key technical level amidst the sector-wide sell-off.
Closing Recap
9:15 PM
BlackRock Fades Intraday Gains, Still Defends 200-Day SMA
BlackRock (BLK) closed down 0.60% post-market, significantly underperforming the broader market's modest gains as the SPY finished up 0.28%. Despite opening higher at $1121.51 and briefly trading near $1150 (ask_price), the asset manager failed to hold onto early momentum. The closing price of $1099.70 puts it just below the $1100 handle but holds firmly above its 200-day Simple Moving Average ($1090.03). With no primary or sector news, today's price action appears to be driven by technical factors, showing relative weakness against the S&P 500.
January 26, 2026
Monday
Executive Analysis Snapshot
2:00 PM ETBLK: Macro Headwinds and Private Credit Concerns Offset Core Strength
BlackRock is a fundamentally strong asset manager with a robust market position. However, current macro concerns regarding national debt and specific issues with a private-credit fund introduce notable headwinds and valuation risk, particularly within its alternative asset segment. The current technicals suggest caution. We recommend a Speculative Hold, advising investors to monitor developments in the private credit market and broader macroeconomic indicators closely.
Bull Case
- β’ Resilient AUM growth driven by diversified product offerings, including strong ETF inflows and continued demand for its Aladdin technology platform.
- β’ Potential for higher-margin alternative assets (e.g., private markets) to drive future revenue, despite current specific fund challenges.
- β’ BlackRock's global scale and brand strength allow it to capture market share and benefit disproportionately from sustained market recoveries or new capital allocations.
Bear Case
- β’ Macroeconomic headwinds, including warnings from BlackRock's CEO on US national debt and high interest rates, could dampen overall market performance and reduce AUM.
- β’ Specific private-credit fund issues, as highlighted in recent news, could lead to reputational damage, redemptions, and increased scrutiny on alternative asset valuations.
- β’ Increased regulatory pressure on large asset managers and potential shifts in investment trends away from traditional funds could impact profitability.
Morning Note
2:15 PM
BlackRock Tumbles on Private Credit Woes and Macro Fears
BlackRock (BLK) is set for a lower open this morning, trading down 0.9% in pre-market action, lagging the slight positive indication from the S&P 500 futures. The decline appears to be driven by two significant negative catalysts. Firstly, a report highlighting distress in a private credit fund tied to BlackRock is weighing on sentiment. Secondly, a stark warning from the JP Morgan CEO regarding the U.S. national debt introduces broader macro concerns for the financial sector. Despite these headwinds, BLK is trading above its 200-day moving average of $1087.52, which could act as a support level if the weakness continues.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Drags on Financials Amidst Private Credit Fund Woes
BlackRock (BLK) is trading down 0.36% midday, underperforming the broader market as the S&P 500 gains 0.44%. The financial sector is also under pressure, down 0.77%. The primary catalyst appears to be negative press regarding a private credit fund tied to BlackRock, which is reportedly 'getting hammered.' This is creating headwinds for the asset manager, despite the generally positive market environment. BLK is showing relative weakness today, trading below its sector peers and failing to reclaim its opening price. Key support is currently being tested near the $1125 level.
Closing Recap
9:15 PM
BlackRock Plummets on Private Credit Fund Woes
BlackRock (BLK) closed down 7.04% today, significantly underperforming the broader market and its financial services peers. News surfaced regarding a private credit fund tied to BlackRock experiencing significant stress, driving negative sentiment and a sharp sell-off in the stock. Despite the S&P 500 gaining 0.33%, BLK fell heavily, highlighting company-specific headwinds. The stock also broke below its 200-day moving average of $1088.86, a key technical support level. Resistance is now seen at the day's opening price of $1134.72.
January 23, 2026
Friday
Executive Analysis Snapshot
2:00 PM ETBlackRock (BLK): Record AUM Growth vs. Macro Headwinds and Forensic Data Gaps
BlackRock exhibits strong operational momentum with record AUM and positive analyst sentiment. However, macro-level warnings from its own leadership introduce a significant degree of market risk. The absence of critical forensic and fundamental data prevents a thorough assessment of intrinsic financial health. Given the 'Accumulate' recommendation and current technicals, a cautious long position with attention to macro developments is warranted.
Bull Case
- β’ BlackRock has reported record Assets Under Management (AUM), signaling strong investor confidence and market leadership, driving fee growth.
- β’ UBS recently raised BlackRock's price target to $1,280, citing strong fee growth, which could inspire further analyst upgrades and positive market sentiment.
- β’ Strategic shifts and adaptations within BlackRock, as highlighted in news, position the company for continued growth in evolving financial markets (e.g., ETFs, private markets).
Bear Case
- β’ BlackRock's CEO has issued a blunt warning on the US national debt, indicating potential significant macroeconomic headwinds that could impact investment performance and AUM.
- β’ The current RSI of 57.41 is neutral, and a low confluence score of 2/8 suggests limited strong technical buying signals, indicating potential for consolidation or mild pullback.
- β’ Potential indirect risks from broader market sentiment, such as concerns over AI's 'social permission' (as warned by Microsoft CEO), could affect technology-heavy portfolios managed by BlackRock.
Morning Note
2:15 PM
BlackRock Gaps Down Sharply on Broader Market Weakness
BlackRock (BLK) is set for a significant pre-market decline, trading down 14.8% from its previous close. Despite a somewhat positive headline regarding Elon Musk's robotics ventures, the catalyst for BLK's slide appears to be broad market weakness, with futures pointing to a negative open. The stock is trading well below its 200-day moving average of $1086, indicating technical weakness. The Financial Services sector is also showing substantial pre-market weakness, down 3.5%, further contributing to BLK's downdraft. Relative strength is poor, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 which is only indicated down 0.15%.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Drags Amidst Financial Sector Weakness
BlackRock (BLK) is trading down 0.8% midday, underperforming the broader market as the financial services sector experiences significant headwinds, down 3.1%. Despite a somewhat positive, albeit unrelated, news item regarding Elon Musk's humanoid robot ambitions, BLK is being heavily influenced by sector-wide selling pressure. The stock is testing its 200-day moving average around $1087, a key technical level to watch for potential support. Relative weakness is evident as BLK lags the S&P 500's 0.26% gain.
Closing Recap
9:15 PM
BlackRock Edges Lower, Underperforming Broader Market
BlackRock (BLK) finished the session down 0.9% in post-market trading, closing at $1124.66. The financial services sector broadly declined by 0.84%, with BLK showing slight relative weakness within its peer group. Despite the S&P 500 managing a small gain of 0.14%, BLK failed to hold its opening price. Today's price action saw BLK test the $1120 support level before recovering slightly into the close. While no significant company-specific or sector news was reported, the stock's move appears to be driven by technical factors and broad market sentiment, failing to hold its higher price levels. The 200-day moving average at $1087.51 remains a key long-term support.
January 22, 2026
Thursday
Executive Analysis Snapshot
2:00 PM ETBLK: AUM Growth Sustained by Fee Income, Overshadowed by Macro Headwinds
BlackRock demonstrates robust fundamental momentum driven by record AUM and strong fee growth, leading to positive analyst sentiment and future outlook. However, the CEO's own warnings about US national debt introduce significant macroeconomic uncertainty. Technical indicators are currently neutral, lacking a strong directional signal. While fundamental health appears strong based on news reports, the absence of detailed financial statements limits our forensic assessment. Investors should acknowledge the strong operational execution but remain cautious of broader market and macro risks.
Bull Case
- β’ Record Assets Under Management (AUM) driven by strategic shifts, indicating sustained market leadership and strong revenue growth potential through diversified investment products.
- β’ Strong fee growth, as highlighted by recent analyst upgrades (e.g., UBS raising price target to $1,280), suggesting robust and increasing revenue generation from BlackRock's extensive client base.
- β’ Positive earnings performance and a strong outlook for 2026, signaling sustained profitability and continued investor confidence in their long-term growth strategy and market position.
Bear Case
- β’ BlackRock CEO's blunt warning on US national debt signals significant macroeconomic headwinds, potentially impacting global investor confidence, leading to reduced AUM inflows or increased redemptions.
- β’ Low technical confluence score (1/8) and neutral RSI (52.74) suggest a lack of strong directional momentum or clear technical support/resistance levels, making the stock vulnerable to broader market shifts without strong anchors.
- β’ Risk of broader market downturns or a significant rotation out of financial services could negatively impact AUM and fee income across BlackRock's diverse portfolio, despite strong individual product performance.
Mid-Day Check
5:15 PM
BlackRock Plunges on Broader Market Sell-Off and Tech Sector Headwinds
BlackRock (BLK) is experiencing a significant downdraft, currently down 14.8% in mid-day trading, significantly underperforming the broader market's slight gain (+0.09% for SPY). While there's no direct company news, asset managers like BLK are susceptible to broad market sentiment. The tech sector, which often influences broader market sentiment, is seeing weakness with a somewhat negative note from Microsoft's CEO regarding AI energy consumption. BLK has decisively broken below its 200-day moving average of $1085.09, indicating a strong bearish technical signal. The stock is showing considerable relative weakness today.
Closing Recap
9:15 PM
BlackRock Suffers Steep Declines Amid Financial Sector Sell-off
BlackRock (BLK) experienced a significant downturn today, closing down 14.8% after gapping lower. While the market was relatively flat, BLK was heavily impacted by a broad sell-off in the Financial Services sector, which saw its own index fall 7.5%. Despite positive news from Elon Musk regarding humanoid robots, this did not provide a catalyst for BLK, and the stock showed notable relative weakness against the market. The stock decisively broke below its 200-day simple moving average of $1086, closing well below this key technical level. This break could signal further downside as the stock tests lower support levels.
