TSLA Research Archive

Complete daily research dossier: Executive analysis, morning notes, mid-day checks, and closing recaps

April 1, 2026

Wednesday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$378.65
Close
$381.32
+0.71%

TSLA: Stagnant Growth vs. Oversold Technicals

Tesla currently sits at a technical inflection point. While the RSI indicates it is technically oversold, the forensic audit reveals a deteriorating income statement that does not support its current valuation. We advise against adding exposure until revenue growth re-accelerates and operating margins stabilize.

Bull Case
  • Oversold condition (RSI < 30) historically marks short-term localized bottoms for high-beta momentum stocks.
  • Significant potential for margin expansion if energy storage and AI/Robotics initiatives scale in FY2025.
  • Strong balance sheet with healthy liquidity positions the company to weather a high-interest rate environment better than pure-play auto competitors.
Bear Case
  • Revenue and Earnings growth have flatlined YoY, contradicting the premium valuation multiples (P/E 442x).
  • Operating income has seen a sustained multi-year compression, falling from $8.8B in 2023 to $4.3B TTM.
  • Price-to-Sales (19.95x) remains disconnected from the broader automotive and tech manufacturing sectors, leaving significant room for P/E contraction.
Price Targets:
Bull: $415
Base: $360
Bear: $280
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+70

Tesla Surges on Delivery Optimism

Tesla (TSLA) is rallying 2.88% this morning, outpacing the SPY and showing strong bullish sentiment. Investors are currently weighing positive European delivery data and general excitement around Terafab and SpaceX developments against concerns over sequential Q1 volume dips. Despite the bullish move, the stock continues to trade well below its 200-day moving average, signaling that this is a technical recovery play within a larger corrective trend.

Support: $370.00
Resistance: $425.44
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
+20

Tesla Defies Market Downturn

Tesla (TSLA) is showing remarkable relative strength, rising 1.88% in a session where the SPY is down more than 2%. The stock is digesting a mix of positive registration data out of Europe balanced against concerns regarding sequential Q1 delivery dips and analyst skepticism. Tesla's ability to trade higher amidst a broader market sell-off suggests a decoupling from macro sentiment for the time being, though it remains below the key 200-day moving average.

Support: $359.67
Resistance: $425.44
Earnings

March 31, 2026

Tuesday

Open
$362.15
Close
$371.70
+2.64%
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+40

Tesla Gains Despite Mixed Headwinds

Tesla (TSLA) is trading higher by 2.46% this morning, demonstrating resilience despite a flurry of negative headlines regarding delivery expectations and institutional selling. Investors appear to be prioritizing the potential for long-term sector alignment, potentially bolstered by recent legislative developments impacting the broader EV space. The stock is currently navigating a challenging trend, as it remains well below its 200-day moving average.

Support: $350.00
Resistance: $424.89
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-20

Tesla Fades Despite Mixed Headlines

Tesla (TSLA) is down 1.27% today, showing notable relative weakness during a strong session for the S&P 500. While news regarding a new chip factory and delivery optimism provided early support, the stock is struggling to sustain gains as investors weigh concerns over tech sector rotation and Cathie Wood's recent liquidation. With the stock trading below both the MACD signal line and the 200-day SMA, sellers remain in control of the near-term trend.

Support: $350.00
Resistance: $424.89
Earnings

March 30, 2026

Monday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$365.90
Close
$355.33
-2.89%

TSLA: Operational Stagnation Meets Technical Oversold Bounce

Tesla is currently priced as a high-growth disruptor, yet the financials reflect a mature, struggling automaker with declining margins. With an RSI under 30, a short-term technical bounce is possible, but the lack of revenue growth and astronomical P/E suggest the long-term trend remains downward until operational efficiency improves.

Bull Case
  • Oversold RSI (29.75) signals a high probability of a mean-reversion bounce in the near term.
  • Strong Operating Cash Flow ($14.7B TTM) provides a buffer for heavy R&D in AI/Robotics.
  • Potential for aggressive cost-cutting measures to stabilize margins after significant degradation.
Bear Case
  • Revenue growth has stalled (0.0% YoY), questioning the 'growth company' premium valuation.
  • Extremely high P/E of 430x is fundamentally indefensible given the flat earnings trajectory.
  • Negative sentiment cluster suggests institutional distribution and loss of narrative momentum.
Price Targets:
Bull: $395
Base: $310
Bear: $220
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
-50

Tesla Faces Macro Headwinds

Tesla (TSLA) is holding a modest 0.36% gain, yet the ticker is failing to keep pace with the broader SPY rally of 0.5%. The stock is navigating significant geopolitical uncertainty following reports of escalating tensions in the Middle East and spiking oil prices. While the price remains stable for now, investors are cautious as TSLA sits well below its 200-day moving average of $424.89, indicating a larger bearish technical structure.

Support: $350.00
Resistance: $424.89
Macro
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Faces Pressure from Analyst Downgrade and Geopolitical Fears

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are down 1.82% today, pressured by a combination of a negative HSBC analyst note and heightened market anxiety regarding potential geopolitical escalation in the Middle East. While TSLA is currently performing better than the SPY in percentage terms, the breach of its short-term moving average signals a difficult path ahead. Market participants are monitoring the $340 level as a key psychological support zone.

Support: $340.00
Resistance: $370.00
Earnings

March 27, 2026

Friday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$369.80
Close
$361.79
-2.17%

TSLA: Stagnating Growth vs. Extreme Valuation Premium

TSLA currently exhibits a 'growth company' valuation with 'stagnant company' fundamentals. The sharp decline in operating income, coupled with an extreme P/E ratio, suggests the stock is significantly overextended based on current financial performance. We recommend extreme caution until revenue growth accelerates or margins stabilize.

Bull Case
  • Continued dominance in North American EV charging infrastructure providing a secondary revenue moat.
  • Potential breakthrough in FSD (Full Self-Driving) licensing model could shift market perception from auto-manufacturer to software platform.
  • Strong balance sheet with $82B in equity providing a significant cushion for R&D spending during cyclical downturns.
Bear Case
  • Revenue growth has stalled (0% YoY), fundamentally challenging the current 442x P/E multiple.
  • Operating income has contracted sharply from $8.89B to $4.35B over the last three fiscal periods, signaling margin compression.
  • Market sentiment is increasingly wary of the 'AI/Robotaxi' narrative failing to offset the decline in core automotive demand.
Price Targets:
Bull: $420
Base: $280
Bear: $210
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Faces Triple Headwind

Tesla (TSLA) is trading down 1.47% as a flurry of negative news weighs on sentiment. Investors are reacting to a reduced 2026 delivery outlook of 1.69 million units, alongside broader concerns regarding a lack of new model releases in China and increased competitive pressure from BYD. While mention of a potential SpaceX IPO offers a minor glimmer of interest, it is being overshadowed by fundamental delivery concerns. The stock continues to struggle below its 200-day SMA of $424.15.

Support: $360.00
Resistance: $380.00
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Slumps Amid Weakness in EV Complex

Tesla (TSLA) is down 5.06% today, facing heavy selling pressure as a confluence of negative headlines—including profit warnings from rival BYD and stalled China expansion plans—weighs on sentiment. The stock is currently trading well below its 200-day moving average of $424.16. With the MACD signaling a bearish crossover, the technical setup remains precarious as the stock continues to struggle under broader sector headwinds.

Support: $343.80
Resistance: $372.00
Earnings

March 26, 2026

Thursday

Open
$381.57
Close
$372.04
-2.50%
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
-30

Tesla Fades on Mixed News

Tesla (TSLA) is down 1.67%, showing notable relative weakness compared to the SPY. The company faces a tug-of-war between optimistic AI chip narratives and concerns regarding solar equipment sourcing in China. Investors are currently favoring caution as the stock struggles to find footing below its 200-day moving average of $424.15.

Support: $375.00
Resistance: $386.00
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Slips on Delivery Outlook Downgrade

Tesla (TSLA) is under pressure, down 3.09% as investors react to the company’s revised 2026 delivery outlook of 1.69 million units. While the stock has seen positive headlines regarding SpaceX and energy storage investments, the core automotive outlook is weighing heavily on sentiment today. With the stock price currently well below its 200-day SMA ($424.16), the trend remains bearish as the company struggles to maintain its growth narrative.

Support: $354.71
Resistance: $393.35
Earnings

March 25, 2026

Wednesday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$389.93
Close
$385.97
-1.02%

TSLA: Stagnant Growth and Margin Compression Challenge Premium Valuation

Tesla is currently priced as a hyper-growth tech company, but the financials reflect a mature, struggling manufacturer. With a P/E of 456x against zero growth and thinning margins, the valuation is disconnected from current operational reality. Without a clear catalyst to reignite revenue expansion, the stock remains vulnerable to further multiple compression.

Bull Case
  • Potential for AI-driven margin expansion through Full Self-Driving (FSD) software licensing.
  • Strong liquidity position with $137B in assets provides runway for infrastructure investment.
  • Brand dominance in the EV sector continues to drive consistent, albeit plateauing, global demand.
Bear Case
  • Stagnant revenue and earnings growth (0% YoY) fails to justify a 456x P/E multiple.
  • Operating income has cratered from $8.8B in 2023 to $4.3B, signaling severe margin compression.
  • RSI at 39.34 indicates a lack of bullish momentum, hovering near support levels with little institutional buying conviction.
Price Targets:
Bull: $420
Base: $310
Bear: $220
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+90

Tesla Rallies on SpaceX IPO Speculation

Tesla (TSLA) is bucking the market trend, surging 1.79% this morning on reports that SpaceX could file for an IPO as early as this week. The news has ignited speculative interest in the broader space complex, lifting Tesla alongside it. The stock is demonstrating significant relative strength as investors weigh the potential positive spillover of a SpaceX public offering.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $400.00
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
+90

Tesla Bounces on SpaceX IPO Buzz

Tesla (TSLA) is bucking the market trend, rallying 1.79% on reports that SpaceX may file for an IPO as early as this week. The stock is showing massive relative strength, surging while the broader market indices collapse. The rally suggests strong speculative interest surrounding the connection between the two companies, helping TSLA climb toward its 200-day moving average.

Support: $370.00
Resistance: $423.33
Earnings

March 24, 2026

Tuesday

Open
$376.31
Close
$383.14
+1.81%
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+80

Tesla Rallies on Musk Innovation Push

Tesla (TSLA) shares are bid up 0.52% this morning, buoyed by significant positive sentiment surrounding Elon Musk's unveiling of Terafab and potential SpaceX IPO plans. Despite some mixed news regarding competition in the European market, the stock remains a high-beta beneficiary of the broader market rally. Tesla is currently underperforming the SPY's 0.61% gain today; investors will be watching to see if the stock can regain momentum above the $385 level to challenge its 200-day moving average.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $423.34
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Faces Massive Sell-Off

Tesla (TSLA) is enduring a severe drawdown, plunging 43.07% despite mixed news headlines. While some reports highlight potential AI strategy benefits and European sales rebounds, the market is overwhelmingly reacting to competitive pressures in Europe and broader volatility. The stock is exhibiting extreme relative weakness, plummeting well below its 200-day moving average of $423.34. Investors are clearly focused on immediate demand concerns over long-term strategic projects.

Support: $200.00
Resistance: $380.00
Earnings

March 23, 2026

Monday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$373.55
Close
$380.79
+1.94%

TSLA: Contracting Margins and Decelerating Growth Amid Technical Oversold Conditions

TSLA is currently navigating a period of fundamental stagnation. While the stock is technically oversold, the massive compression in operating income and the lack of top-line growth render the 438x P/E ratio unsustainable without a fundamental catalyst. We view the current price as susceptible to further downward adjustment despite the recent technical drop.

Bull Case
  • Oversold RSI (27.29) suggests the potential for a technical mean-reversion bounce in the short term.
  • The company maintains a strong net cash position and stable operating cash flows, providing a buffer against liquidity shocks.
  • Long-term potential for FSD and AI integration remains a significant narrative driver for valuation premiums.
Bear Case
  • Revenue and Earnings growth are stagnant (0% YoY), which is difficult to reconcile with an extreme P/E of 438x.
  • Margin compression is evident; Operating Income has fallen significantly from $8.8B in 2022 to $4.3B in the most recent period.
  • Market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, reflecting concerns over weakening demand and competitive pressure in the EV space.
Price Targets:
Bull: $410
Base: $320
Bear: $240
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+90

Tesla Spikes on Texas Terafab Expansion News

Tesla (TSLA) is rallying 3.57% this morning following the announcement that the company, alongside SpaceX, plans to construct a $20 billion chip fabrication plant in Texas. While the stock is currently trading below its 200-day moving average of $422.86, this fundamental catalyst provides a potential tailwind for momentum traders to challenge recent bearish trends.

Support: $368.00
Resistance: $422.86
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Fades Despite Aggressive Expansion News

In a jarring divergence from market sentiment, Tesla (TSLA) is cratering 41.1% today despite headlines regarding a new $20 billion 'Terafab' chip plant and AI-focused growth initiatives. The aggressive sell-off indicates that the market is ignoring company-specific catalysts in favor of extreme technical liquidation. With the stock currently trading significantly below its 200-day moving average, buyers have yet to emerge to defend the price.

Support: $200.00
Resistance: $368.00
Earnings

March 20, 2026

Friday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$379.02
Close
$368.02
-2.90%

TSLA: Margin Compression and Stagnating Growth Challenge Premium Valuation

Tesla is currently priced for hyper-growth that is not appearing in the income statement. While the balance sheet remains stable, the massive contraction in operating and net income renders the current valuation precarious. We remain bearish until revenue growth re-accelerates and margins stabilize.

Bull Case
  • Continued dominance in global EV infrastructure and potential breakthroughs in FSD (Full Self-Driving) licensing revenue.
  • Strong balance sheet with healthy liquidity, providing a cushion for heavy R&D in AI and robotics.
  • Oversold technical condition (RSI near 33) suggests a potential bounce if broader market sentiment improves.
Bear Case
  • Revenue growth has stalled at 0% YoY, failing to justify the extreme 452x P/E multiple.
  • Operating income is in a multi-year downtrend, falling from $8.89B to $4.35B, indicating severe margin compression.
  • Price/Sales ratio of 20.4x is significantly detached from the historical averages of the automotive sector, suggesting a vulnerability to mean reversion.
Price Targets:
Bull: $420
Base: $310
Bear: $220
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Struggles Under Regulatory Scrutiny

Tesla (TSLA) is trading lower by 0.99%, showing relative weakness compared to the market. Sentiment is weighed down by headlines regarding an expanded NHTSA probe into its self-driving software. While the company continues to push its supply chain innovation for Optimus, investors remain focused on the compounding regulatory and safety narrative surrounding FSD.

Support: $360.00
Resistance: $422.72
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Faces Heavy Selling Pressure

Tesla (TSLA) is enduring a brutal session, plunging nearly 43% as it displays extreme relative weakness against the broader market. While the company continues to push technological initiatives like 'Terafab,' sentiment is being severely pressured by a fresh NHTSA investigation into FSD and concerns regarding sector-wide autonomous driving risks. The stock is currently trading well below its 200-day moving average, signaling a deep technical breakdown.

Support: $200.00
Resistance: $380.00
Earnings

March 19, 2026

Thursday

Open
$387.20
Close
$380.25
-1.80%
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Slips on Regulatory Headwinds

Tesla (TSLA) shares are down 2.65% in early trading following reports that federal regulators are deepening their probe into the company's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system. The combination of increased NHTSA scrutiny and broader market anxiety regarding geopolitical instability is weighing on the stock. With shares trading well below the 200-day moving average of $422.52, the technical trend remains bearish.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $422.52
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-100

Tesla Plummets on Regulatory Headwinds

Tesla (TSLA) is enduring a severe sell-off, down 44.81% following a barrage of negative developments. The expansion of the NHTSA investigation into the company's full self-driving technology, combined with mounting safety concerns, has triggered a massive liquidity exit. The stock is currently trading in deep territory and is showing extreme relative weakness compared to the flat performance of the SPY.

Support: $200.00
Resistance: $392.00
Earnings

March 18, 2026

Wednesday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$399.03
Close
$392.80
-1.56%

TSLA: Stagnant Growth vs. Premium Valuation

TSLA is currently facing a fundamental identity crisis. The disconnect between a 475x P/E multiple and 0% revenue growth is unsustainable in the current high-interest-rate macro environment. Unless the company reignites top-line expansion, the equity remains vulnerable to a significant multiple contraction.

Bull Case
  • Continued dominance in EV market infrastructure and Supercharger network ecosystem.
  • Potential upside from FSD (Full Self-Driving) licensing deals to legacy automakers.
  • Resilient balance sheet with strong operating cash flow generation despite margin compression.
Bear Case
  • Extreme valuation divergence with a 475x P/E ratio, decoupled from current 0% revenue growth.
  • Declining operating income over three consecutive fiscal years indicates structural margin pressure.
  • Market rotation out of high-multiple growth stocks into value/dividend-paying assets.
Price Targets:
Bull: $460
Base: $320
Bear: $215
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+40

Tesla Fades Despite Michigan Plant Announcement

Despite the confirmed $4.3 billion investment in a new Michigan battery plant with LG Energy, Tesla (TSLA) is trading slightly lower by 0.35%. While the news is fundamentally positive, the stock is struggling to find buyers as it sits just below its 200-day moving average. The stock is demonstrating relative strength against the broader Consumer Cyclical sector, but must clear the $400 psychological barrier to regain bullish momentum.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $422.25
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-50

Tesla Fades Despite Michigan Plant Announcement

Tesla (TSLA) is experiencing a volatile session, dropping 45.71% in an extreme outlier move, severely underperforming the market. While the company announced a significant $4.3 billion joint battery venture with LG Energy, the market appears to be pricing in severe skepticism regarding margins and valuation, alongside noise from a new litigation filing. TSLA is currently demonstrating massive relative weakness as it trades well below its 200-day moving average.

Support: $210.00
Resistance: $422.25
Earnings

March 17, 2026

Tuesday

Open
$395.74
Close
$399.27
+0.89%
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+80

Tesla Gains on Major Battery Partnership

Tesla (TSLA) is holding gains of 0.33% this morning, demonstrating resilience against a broader Consumer Cyclical sector decline of 1%. The primary catalyst is the confirmed $4.3 billion battery plant partnership with LG Energy Solution, bolstered by reports of surging sales in the Chinese market. Despite the negative headline regarding industry competitor Honda's EV losses, Tesla's expansion efforts are keeping the stock well-bid as it tests the $400 psychological barrier.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $421.52
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
-40

Tesla Plummets Despite Battery Expansion News

Despite the positive announcement of a $4.3 billion battery partnership with LG Energy, Tesla (TSLA) is suffering a massive 22.17% selloff. The stock is being weighed down by broad-market weakness and an extremely negative sentiment shift in the consumer cyclical sector, compounded by concerns over auto industry profitability following earnings warnings from competitors. The share price has collapsed well below its 200-day moving average, highlighting a severe breakdown in market sentiment.

Support: $216.78
Resistance: $399.10
Earnings

March 16, 2026

Monday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$396.13
Close
$395.64
-0.12%

TSLA: Stagnant Growth and Margin Compression Challenge Premium Valuation

Tesla is currently priced for hyper-growth that is no longer manifesting in the P&L. The contraction in operating income while revenue stagnates is a classic sign of pricing power loss. The stock is technically fragile and fundamentally overpriced; until we see a re-acceleration in top-line growth or a significant margin expansion, the downside risk remains substantial.

Bull Case
  • Continued dominance in the EV charging infrastructure network creating a recurring revenue moat.
  • Potential for accelerated FSD (Full Self-Driving) licensing deals to boost software-based margins.
  • Cost-cutting measures and manufacturing efficiencies could stabilize margins in a higher interest rate environment.
Bear Case
  • Stagnant revenue and earnings growth (0.0% YoY) do not justify a 465x P/E ratio.
  • Recent technical trend is weak, with a Confluence Score of -1 suggesting lack of support stability.
  • Negative sentiment cycle persists as competitive pressure from legacy OEMs and Chinese EV makers intensifies.
Price Targets:
Bull: $420
Base: $320
Bear: $215
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
-40

Tesla Faces Headwinds Despite Sector Gains

Tesla (TSLA) is up 1.77% this morning, tracking the broader Consumer Cyclical sector; however, the stock is notably underperforming its sector's 2.21% gain. The market is weighing negative reports regarding Tesla's pivot to AI-heavy robotics and a supply chain delay in its graphite deal. Investors appear cautious as the stock continues to trade below its 200-day moving average of $421.14.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $421.14
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
+20

Tesla Navigates Mixed Sentiment

Tesla (TSLA) is up 1.02%, showing relative strength against a flat S&P 500. While the company faces headline headwinds regarding supply chain disputes and negative analyst chatter surrounding its AI pivot, the stock is currently bid higher. Investors appear to be weighing the long-term potential of its robotics initiatives against the short-term noise. The stock remains below its 200-day SMA of $421.14, acting as a clear overhead barrier.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $421.14
Earnings

March 13, 2026

Friday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$399.17
Close
$391.13
-2.01%

TSLA: Margin Compression and Valuation Disconnect

Tesla is currently priced as a high-growth tech disruptor but performing like a manufacturing company in a slowdown. The massive divergence between the 470x P/E ratio and zero revenue growth presents a significant downside risk if the 'AI/Robotics' narrative fails to materialize into GAAP earnings. Current technicals are neutral, suggesting wait-and-see for a lower entry point or concrete evidence of margin recovery.

Bull Case
  • Potential for long-term AI and robotics integration to pivot the company from automotive to a tech-multiple valuation.
  • Strong balance sheet with healthy liquidity to fund ongoing capital expenditures for R&D.
  • Brand loyalty and dominant position in the global EV charging infrastructure ecosystem provide a competitive moat.
Bear Case
  • Extreme valuation with a P/E ratio of 470x significantly outstripping growth metrics which are currently stagnant.
  • Persistent margin compression as indicated by declining operating income from $8.8B (2022) to $4.3B (2024).
  • Stagnant revenue growth YoY suggests market saturation or intensifying competitive pressure from legacy OEMs and Chinese rivals.
Price Targets:
Bull: $440
Base: $280
Bear: $190
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
+40

Tesla Navigates Mixed Delivery Data

Tesla (TSLA) is showing remarkable relative strength, trading flat despite a broader market decline and a lagging Consumer Cyclical sector. The stock is reacting to a mixed bag of news; strong February China delivery growth (up 91%) and strategic reallocations involving SpaceX/xAI are being weighed against a sharp 45% sales decline in the UK. TSLA is currently testing the $395 level; traders will look for the stock to reclaim its 200-day SMA at $420.32 to confirm a return to bullish momentum.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $420.32
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
+20

Tesla Faces Heavy Selling Despite Positive Developments

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are tumbling 23% today, showing severe relative weakness against a difficult market backdrop. This move is largely disconnected from the day's positive news regarding Tesla's China sales performance and the strategic xAI-to-SpaceX investment conversion. The heavy volume of selling suggests a broader technical breakdown as the stock drifts further below its 200-day moving average of $420.73.

Support: $300.00
Resistance: $350.00
Earnings

March 12, 2026

Thursday

Open
$405.00
Close
$395.03
-2.46%
🌅

Morning Note

4:15 PM

Sentiment
-20

Tesla Faces Mixed Reaction to China Data

Tesla (TSLA) is down 2.29% this morning as conflicting fundamental reports weigh on sentiment. While recent data shows significant sales growth in the Chinese market, investors appear hyper-focused on lingering concerns regarding cash burn and long-term delivery projections. The stock remains under pressure, trading below its 200-day moving average of $419.43, suggesting that the recent bullish headlines are currently being overshadowed by broader structural skepticism.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $419.43
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

8:15 PM

Sentiment
+40

Tesla Fades Despite Strong China Delivery Data

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are down 3.12%, failing to hold onto gains triggered by a report showing a 91% surge in February China deliveries. The stock is currently exhibiting relative weakness compared to the S&P 500. Despite positive sentiment surrounding its energy business expansion in the UK and structural corporate moves, the broader Consumer Cyclical sector rout is exerting downward pressure, keeping the stock below its 200-day SMA of $419.86.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $420.00
Earnings

March 11, 2026

Wednesday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$402.24
Close
$407.84
+1.39%

TSLA: Margin Compression and Stagnant Growth Weigh on Premium Valuation

Tesla is currently trading at a multiple that assumes high-growth software scaling, yet the financial data reveals a company struggling with volume stagnation and significant operating margin compression. Until revenue growth resumes or margins bottom out, the valuation remains disconnected from fundamentals.

Bull Case
  • Continued dominance in the EV charging infrastructure network as a de facto industry standard.
  • Potential for renewed valuation expansion if AI/Robotaxi software margins exceed hardware-only projections.
  • Strong balance sheet with healthy liquidity to fund long-term R&D without immediate dilution.
Bear Case
  • Revenue growth has stalled (0% YoY), questioning the 'growth company' narrative priced at a 258x P/E.
  • Significant margin contraction as evidenced by the decline in Operating Income from $8.89B (2023) to $4.35B (2024).
  • Macro environment remains challenging for high-ticket consumer cyclicals with high financing costs.
Price Targets:
Bull: $460
Base: $320
Bear: $225
🌅

Morning Note

2:15 PM

Sentiment
+70

Tesla Eyes Pre-Market Momentum on China Sales Surge

Tesla (TSLA) is showing a positive setup as traders digest news that China-made EV sales jumped 91% in February. Despite competing headlines regarding BYD's global volume, the domestic sales data provides a strong fundamental catalyst. With the stock currently trading near $399, it is looking to reclaim the 200-day moving average at $418.55 as a primary upside target.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $418.55
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

5:15 PM

Sentiment
+80

Tesla Gains on China Sales Surge

Tesla (TSLA) is bucking the broader market trend, trading up 1.37% today. The rally is fueled by reports that February sales of China-made EVs jumped 91%. Despite ongoing concerns regarding long-term delivery growth, the immediate catalyst of strong China demand is providing a solid floor for the stock. Traders are now watching to see if the stock can reclaim its 200-day moving average at $418.55.

Support: $402.24
Resistance: $418.55
Earnings
🌇

Closing Recap

9:15 PM

Sentiment
-60

Tesla Plunges Despite China Growth Narrative

Tesla (TSLA) saw a chaotic session, plummeting 46.11% on massive volatility. While the market received positive reports regarding a 91% jump in February China sales, these figures were completely overwhelmed by pervasive concerns regarding long-term delivery targets and looming cash burn. The stock closed well below its 200-day moving average, signaling a major technical breakdown that investors are struggling to navigate.

Support: $200.00
Resistance: $400.00
Earnings

March 10, 2026

Tuesday

Open
$402.05
Close
$399.19
-0.71%
🌅

Morning Note

2:15 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Faces Headwinds from Multiple Regulatory and Competitive Fronts

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are stagnant pre-market following a barrage of negative catalysts, including a federal probe into FSD traffic violations and a steep 37% decline in UK car sales. Increased pressure from Chinese rivals like BYD further complicates the narrative. While battery supplier earnings offer a marginal offset, the technical setup remains bearish, with the stock struggling to reclaim its 200-day moving average of $417.77.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $417.77
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

5:15 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Struggles Amid Negative Catalyst Pile-Up

Tesla (TSLA) is showing relative weakness today, gaining only 0.23% while the broader market and SPY rally. The stock is facing headwinds from a federal probe into FSD traffic violations and a reported 37% decline in UK sales. While a boost from battery supplier earnings provided a minor floor, the stock remains trapped below its 200-day SMA of $417.77, highlighting a difficult technical setup as competition intensifies globally.

Support: $400.00
Resistance: $417.77
Earnings
🌇

Closing Recap

9:15 PM

Sentiment
-90

Tesla Collapses Following UK Sales Data

Tesla (TSLA) shares saw a dramatic 46.08% decline today, closing at $216.78. The sell-off was compounded by reports of a 37% plunge in UK car sales, highlighting intensifying competition in global markets. The stock failed to find support near its opening levels and plummeted well below its 200-day moving average of $417.77. The sentiment remains heavily pressured by weakening demand signals.

Support: $200.00
Resistance: $400.00
Earnings

March 9, 2026

Monday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$389.92
Close
$398.63
+2.24%

TSLA: Stagnant Growth and Margin Compression Challenge Premium Valuation

Tesla is currently in a transition period where the legacy high-growth narrative is colliding with the reality of a saturated, hyper-competitive EV market. With stagnant revenue growth and a staggering P/E ratio, the valuation is heavily reliant on future speculative AI/FSD successes. Forensic analysis shows a sharp decline in core earnings, suggesting the stock remains significantly overvalued on a fundamental basis.

Bull Case
  • Continued dominance in the EV infrastructure and supercharger network provides a recurring revenue moat.
  • Potential for long-term margin recovery if FSD (Full Self-Driving) achieves widespread regulatory approval and monetization.
  • Strong balance sheet with healthy liquidity, allowing for R&D investment despite softening automotive demand.
Bear Case
  • Revenue and Earnings growth have flatlined at 0% YoY, failing to justify an extreme 472x P/E multiple.
  • Operating margins are facing sustained downward pressure due to aggressive price cuts and intense global competition.
  • The current price is disconnected from fundamental earnings potential, exposing shareholders to significant multiple compression risk.
Price Targets:
Bull: $420
Base: $315
Bear: $220
🌅

Morning Note

2:15 PM

Tesla Navigates Mixed Headlines

Tesla (TSLA) enters the morning session with a neutral bias as traders weigh competing narratives. While the company is raising Robotaxi fares—a potential indicator of strong demand—it is also facing competitive pressure after Ford’s F-150 Lightning surpassed Cybertruck sales. Technically, the stock remains below its 200-day moving average of $416.97 and is contending with a negative MACD trend, necessitating a clean breakout above $400 to reclaim momentum.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $416.97
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

5:15 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Faces Headwinds from Chip Concerns

TSLA is trailing the broader market today, weighed down by reports of ongoing chip supply issues and competitive pressures from Ford’s F-150 Lightning. While management's move to raise robotaxi fares indicates a focus on unit economics, the stock is currently failing to hold the $390 support level. Investors remain cautious as the stock trades below its 200-day SMA.

Support: $381.42
Resistance: $396.63
Earnings
🌇

Closing Recap

9:15 PM

Sentiment
-100

Tesla Suffers Massive Sell-Off on Regulatory and Competitive Headwinds

Tesla (TSLA) shares cratered 20.97% today, showing extreme relative weakness as the broader market rallied. The stock was pressured by a confluence of negative developments, including a federal probe into its FSD technology, ongoing chip supply concerns, and rising competitive pressure from both BYD and Ford. With the stock price breaking significantly below its 200-day moving average of $417.30, the technical setup has turned decidedly bearish.

Support: $300.00
Resistance: $381.42
Earnings

March 6, 2026

Friday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$398.19
Close
$396.63
-0.39%

TSLA: Stagnant Growth and Margin Compression Challenge Extreme Valuation

Tesla is currently in a 'growthless growth' cycle. With the P/E ratio at extreme levels despite zero revenue growth and declining operating margins, the stock is decoupled from its fundamental reality. We recommend a cautious stance, as the current price reflects a future scenario that the present financial statements fail to support.

Bull Case
  • Potential for long-term value capture in FSD (Full Self-Driving) licensing and autonomous taxi fleets.
  • Energy storage segment remains a high-growth buffer against cooling automotive demand.
  • Strong brand loyalty and recurring software revenue provide a defensive moat in a price-competitive market.
Bear Case
  • Valuation compression risk: Current P/E of 478x is unsustainable against 0% revenue growth.
  • Margin erosion: Operating income has dropped significantly from $8.89B (2022) to $4.35B (2024).
  • Market saturation in the core EV automotive segment leading to forced price cuts and diluted brand equity.
Price Targets:
Bull: $460
Base: $320
Bear: $220
🌅

Morning Note

2:15 PM

Sentiment
-40

Tesla Faces Competitive Pressure

Tesla (TSLA) remains stagnant pre-market as investors weigh mixed news cycles. While the company continues to tout AI advancements, tangible headwinds—including the loss of EU carbon credit partners and a 37% decline in UK sales amidst rising Chinese EV competition—are capping upside potential. TSLA is currently hovering below its 200-day moving average, signaling a bearish technical posture.

Support: $380.00
Resistance: $416.30
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

5:15 PM

Sentiment
-20

Tesla Faces Mixed Sentiment

Tesla (TSLA) is down 1.71% in today's session, matching the performance of the Consumer Cyclical sector. Market participants are weighing conflicting reports—a positive outlook on AI innovation vs. reports of a 37% decline in UK sales due to increasing competition. The stock is currently trading below its 200-day SMA of $416.31, suggesting that technical headwinds remain a significant factor for the shares.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $416.31
Earnings
🌇

Closing Recap

9:15 PM

Sentiment
+20

Tesla Fades Despite Positive Mentions

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) fell 2.18% today, closing at $396.74. Despite positive media sentiment surrounding the stock, it succumbed to the broader market downdraft, matching the performance of the consumer cyclical sector. With the price slipping below the 200-day moving average of $416.65, the stock is currently fighting to maintain momentum in a high-volatility environment.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $416.65
Earnings

March 5, 2026

Thursday

Open
$401.57
Close
$405.59
+1.00%
🌅

Morning Note

2:18 PM

Sentiment
+70

Tesla Retreats Slightly Pre-Market Despite Bullish Analyst Reinforcements

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are experiencing a modest pre-market pullback, trading down 0.34% to $405.96, diverging from the broader market's positive momentum (S&P 500 futures up 0.5%). This relative weakness comes despite a wave of highly positive news, primarily led by Bank of America. BofA reinstated a "Buy" rating on TSLA, setting an ambitious $460 price target, citing the company's leadership in autonomy and significant future upside from robotaxi profits. The analyst also highlighted Tesla's strong February sales figures, indicating robust growth.

Despite these strong catalysts, the stock has failed to catch a significant bid in early trading, suggesting some consolidation or profit-taking after recent moves. Investors will be watching whether this slight pre-market dip holds or if the positive analyst sentiment can drive a recovery as the regular session approaches. The 200-day Simple Moving Average at $415.93 remains a key resistance level to overcome for continued upside.

Support: $396.66
Resistance: $415.93
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

5:18 PM

Sentiment
-40

Tesla Fades Post-Upgrade Gains, Dips Marginally

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are trading slightly lower mid-day, down 0.38% at $405.79. This modest pullback comes despite a flurry of positive company-specific news, most notably Bank of America reinstating a 'Buy' rating with a $460 price target, citing robust robotaxi prospects. Additionally, strong February sales figures were reported. Despite opening higher at $407.35, the stock has faded some of its initial enthusiasm, unable to sustain the upward momentum. While TSLA is showing notable relative strength against its Consumer Discretionary sector peers (down 1.19%), it is exhibiting relative weakness compared to the broader S&P 500, which is only down 0.17%.

A minor headwind emerged with reports of Tesla losing Toyota and Stellantis from its EU Carbon Credits pool, potentially tempering some sentiment. On the technical front, TSLA is currently trading below its significant 200-day Simple Moving Average of $415.93, which could serve as overhead resistance.

Support: $396.66
Resistance: $415.93
Earnings
🌇

Closing Recap

9:18 PM

Sentiment
-60

Tesla Fades Despite Bullish Calls, Shows Relative Weakness

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) closed down 1.35% at $405.96, significantly underperforming the broader market which saw the S&P 500 dip only 0.27%. The stock's decline came despite a flurry of generally positive company-specific news, including Bank of America reinstating coverage with a positive outlook on robotaxi prospects and reports of February sales growth. However, news that Tesla lost Toyota and Stellantis from its EU carbon credits pool may have weighed on sentiment, alongside general profit-taking. The stock's inability to hold gains suggests a technical struggle, having closed well below its 200-day simple moving average of $415.93.

Support: $396.66
Resistance: $415.93
Earnings

March 4, 2026

Wednesday

2:00 PM ET
Open
$397.85
Close
$405.96
+2.04%

TSLA: High Valuation and Declining Profitability Masked by Strong Growth Narrative

Tesla presents a compelling future-focused narrative driven by AI, FSD, and energy. However, a deep dive into recent SEC filings reveals critical red flags: severe declines in net and operating income, coupled with revenue stagnation. These fundamental weaknesses are highly inconsistent with its extreme valuation multiples. While operating cash flow remains strong, high capital expenditures and intense market competition warrant a Critical risk assessment. Investors should approach with extreme caution, as the stock is a 'Speculative Hold' heavily reliant on future, unproven success.

Bull Case
  • Strong market narrative surrounding advancements in Artificial Intelligence (AI), Full Self-Driving (FSD), and robotics (Optimus) continues to drive long-term speculative interest and a 'tech company' valuation.
  • Ongoing expansion of the energy generation and storage division (Tesla Energy) provides a diversifying revenue stream with significant future growth potential.
  • Predominantly positive recent news sentiment indicates sustained investor optimism regarding future product developments, innovation, and brand leadership despite current financial headwinds.
Bear Case
  • Extreme valuation metrics, including a P/E ratio of 467.70 and Price/Sales of 21.08, are unsustainable given recent declines in profitability and revenue, significantly exceeding sector averages.
  • Intensifying competition in the global Electric Vehicle (EV) market is leading to price wars, which could further erode Tesla's gross margins and market share.
  • Technical indicators, including an RSI of 35.40 and a negative Confluence Score (-1/8), suggest underlying technical weakness and potential for continued downward price momentum.
Price Targets:
Bull: $450
Base: $320
Bear: $200
🌅

Morning Note

2:17 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Gaps Down Sharply Despite Positive Catalysts

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are poised for a significant gap down this morning, trading lower by 3.61% in pre-market activity at $392.63. This marks a notable divergence from the broader market, with TSLA showing substantial relative weakness as the S&P 500 futures trade in positive territory (+0.78%). The pre-market decline comes despite a flurry of seemingly positive company-specific news, including Bank of America resuming coverage with a very positive price target, reports of Elon Musk's optimistic outlook on a potential SpaceX IPO valuation, and updates on Tesla reworking Fremont for Optimus robots. While there was also some slightly negative news regarding German union negotiations, the inability of multiple strong positive catalysts to lift the stock suggests underlying selling pressure or heightened market skepticism towards the equity, possibly extending beyond the immediate news flow. Investors will be watching for a test of immediate support levels at the open.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $396.66
Earnings
☀️

Mid-Day Check

5:17 PM

Sentiment
-40

Tesla Fades Positive News Flow Amidst Relative Weakness Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are showing notable relative weakness mid-day, trading down 0.93% at $403.56, even as the broader S&P 500 (SPY) pushes higher by 0.65%. This decline comes despite a flurry of positive company-specific headlines, including BofA's bullish revaluation based on future robotaxi profits and Elon Musk's affirmation of a $1.75 trillion SpaceX IPO valuation. While a viral FSD video also circulated, highlighting challenges for human drivers, the overall sentiment from recent news has been largely positive. However, the stock appears unable to capitalize on these catalysts, currently trading below its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $415.50, which is acting as a key resistance point. The inability to rally on constructive news suggests underlying selling pressure in the name today.

Support: $396.66
Resistance: $415.50
Earnings
🌇

Closing Recap

9:17 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Slumps, Shrugging Off Bullish Analyst Calls

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) closed the session sharply lower, shedding approximately 3.6% from its open at $407.35 to finish at $392.63. This significant decline occurred despite a flurry of positive company-specific news throughout the day. Bank of America reiterated a "Buy" rating and raised its price target, citing potential robotaxi profits, while news regarding Elon Musk's SpaceX IPO valuation also made headlines.

However, the bullish sentiment failed to translate into price momentum, with the stock showing considerable relative weakness as the S&P 500 managed a gain of 0.56% and the broader Consumer Discretionary sector fell by a more modest 0.61%. A viral video highlighting FSD issues may have contributed to the selling pressure, but fundamentally, the market rejected the positive news flow today. TSLA broke below its intraday low of $396.66 late in the session, signaling a lack of buying interest and closing well beneath its crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average of $415.49.

Support: $392.63
Resistance: $407.51
Earnings

March 3, 2026

Tuesday

Open
$395.09
Close
$392.63
-0.62%
🌅

Morning Note

2:17 PM

Sentiment
-70

Tesla Slides in Premarket as Geopolitical Tensions Weigh

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are showing notable weakness in pre-market trading, currently down 0.98% at $403.37. This decline significantly underperforms the broader S&P 500, which is down a more modest 0.21%, indicating relative weakness for the EV manufacturer. The primary catalyst appears to be escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, which are broadly impacting market sentiment and specifically cited in headlines contributing to TSLA's early pressure. The stock is currently trading below its 200-day Simple Moving Average of $414.73, which will act as a key resistance level on any rebound attempt. Initial support for the session may be found around the psychological $400.00 mark.

Support: $400.00
Resistance: $414.73
Macro
☀️

Mid-Day Check

5:17 PM

Sentiment
-80

Tesla Slips as Robotics Outlook, Optimus Anticipation Weighs

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are under significant pressure in mid-day trading, sliding 3.94% to $391.32. This marks a notable underperformance against the broader market, with the S&P 500 (SPY) trading up 0.32%. TSLA is also lagging its own Consumer Discretionary sector, which is down 2.13%, signaling considerable relative weakness today.

Investors appear to be processing mixed company-specific news. While positive reports highlighted Tesla's market share gains in key European regions like France and Norway in February, sentiment is being weighed down by a focus on the company's evolving risk profile due to its aggressive robotics and robotaxi strategies. Anticipation for the upcoming Optimus Version 3.0, as well as the broader shift in company focus, seems to be driving the current selling pressure. After opening sharply lower at $407.35, the stock has continued to drift downwards, currently testing near its intraday lows.

Support: $390.00
Resistance: $396.66
Earnings
🌇

Closing Recap

9:16 PM

Sentiment
-80

Tesla Slides 3.55% Amid Robotics Strategy Concerns, Underperforms Market

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) concluded the trading day sharply lower, falling 3.55% to close at $403.37. This represented a notable underperformance compared to the broader market, as the S&P 500 advanced 0.76%. The significant sell-off was driven by company-specific headlines, including discussions around Tesla's shifting robotics and robotaxi strategy, which several reports highlighted as reshaping the company's risk profile for investors. Sentiment was further dampened by investor anticipation for the new Optimus Version 3.0 robot and broader concerns about the stock's valuation and future trajectory, despite a piece of somewhat positive news from a key region. The stock tested its intraday low of $396.66, signaling a day of persistent selling pressure and closing well below its 200-day simple moving average of $414.73.

Support: $396.66
Resistance: $414.73 (200-day SMA)
Earnings